If Joe Biden is re-elected as US President in 2024, will he still be US President as of December 31, 2025?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
75%
Likely
Yes

Question description

In the wake of the June 27, 2024 presidential debate, questions have widely been raised about the state of President Biden's health and cognitive faculty. President Biden is 81, and was the oldest President in history at inauguration.

The Hill: Biden committed to finishing second term as questions swirl over fitness for office

USA Today: Joe Biden commits to serving full second term if he defeats Donald Trump, White House says

NY Post: George Stephanopoulos says ‘I don’t think’ Biden can serve 4 more years after ABC interview

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IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts25

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75%
Likely

In the wake of the June 27, 2024 presidential debate, questions have widely been raised about the state of President Biden's health and cognitive faculty. President Biden is 81, and was the oldest President in history at inauguration.

The Hill:...

Last updated: 2024-09-11
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 25

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