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Will England build at least 1.5 million new homes over the current parliamentary term?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
25%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

The UK Labour Party set a target of "1.5 million new homes over the next parliament" in its manifesto prior to its victory in the 2024 United Kingdom general election.

Housing policy in the UK (which includes house building) is a devolved matter in the UK, meaning the national governments of Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland set their own policies separately from the government in Westminster. The Labour manifesto for 2024 has the sentence "Labour will get Britain building again, creating jobs across England, with 1.5 million new homes over the next parliament.", which suggests the 1.5 million goal is for England only.

For more information please see: The new Labour government plans to build 1.5 million homes – here’s what’s needed to make it happen

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts10

Capture #

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Will England build at least 1.5 million new homes over the current parliamentary term?
25%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2024-10-07

The UK Labour Party set a target of "1.5 million new homes over the next parliament" in its manifesto prior to its victory in the 2024 United Kingdom general election.

Housing policy in the UK (which includes house building) is a devolved matter in...

Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 10

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