Will Volkswagen Group produce fewer than 22 million electric vehicles by 2030?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
59%
About Even
Yes

Question description

In a recent press release the Volkswagen Group announced an expansion of their efforts in electric mobility, announcing a shift in their aims from 15 to 22 million vehicles produced in the next decade, CO2 neutrality by 2050, construction of hundreds of charging stations across Europe, and others.

For this the Volkswagen Group established a modular platform, which should enable them to achieve these numbers. Different brands of the VW group like Porsche, Audi, Škoda, and Seat are already making use of and building models with the MEB, set to be sold come 2020.

Let’s check one of their (cl)aims with this prediction.

Will Volkswagen Group have produced fewer than 22 million electric vehicles with their MEB by 2030?

Resolution conditions:

  • Only fully electric vehicles produced based upon the MEB (or a possible successor) will count towards that number
  • "By 2030" sets the deadline’s last day on 2029-12-31
  • If Volkswagen Group’s subsidiaries (Audi, Lamborghini, Ducati, Bentley Motors, Bugatti Automobiles, MAN SE, Porsche, Porsche Holding, Scania, SEAT, Škoda Auto, Volkswagen, Volkswagen Commercial Vehicles, Volkswagen, Marine, TRATON, Here) change significantly (they added or removed subsidiaries had a >100k unit production in the previous year), the question resolves ambiguous.

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About Even

In [a recent press release][] the Volkswagen Group announced an expansion of their efforts in electric mobility, announcing a shift in their aims from 15 to 22 million vehicles produced in the next decade, CO2 neutrality by 2050, construction of...

Last updated: 2022-07-04
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 120

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