This forecasting question is associated with the Verity controversy: Will there be an Israel-Hezbollah war?

The Israel-Hezbollah conflict is rooted in long-standing tensions between Israel and the Lebanon-based militant group Hezbollah. The conflict has intensified since Hamas' Oct. 7, 2023 attack on Israel, after which Hezbollah and Israel also exchanged fired. Border skirmishes and rocket attacks have continued since. Hezbollah, which is backed by Iran, is considered a terrorist organization by the US. The ongoing conflict has had significant humanitarian and political repercussions, with casualties on both sides and a growing international concern over the potential for a wider war between Israel and Hezbollah. The situation remains volatile, with ongoing military engagements and diplomatic efforts to de-escalate the tensions.