Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?

Metaculus
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50%
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Yes

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So-called "third parties" are political parties in the United State that aren't the Democratic Party or the Republican Party. Members of third parties rarely win elections in America. However, the last third party member who won a senate election was James L. Buckley in 1970.

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Number of forecasts267

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50%
About Even

So-called "third parties" are political parties in the United State that aren't the Democratic Party or the Republican Party. Members of third parties) rarely win elections in America. However, the last third party member who won a senate election...

Last updated: 2024-10-07
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Metaculus
Forecasts: 267

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