Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?
Yes
Question description
Ray Kurzweil and Mitchell Kapor summarize their reasons for taking the bet here.
Indicators
Indicator | Value |
---|---|
Stars | ★★★☆☆ |
Platform | Metaculus |
Number of forecasts | 1361 |
Capture
Resizable preview:
83%
Likely
Last updated: 2024-07-27
Ray Kurzweil and Mitchell Kapor summarize their reasons for taking the bet here.
Last updated: 2024-07-27
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 1361
Embed
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