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Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
80%
Likely
Yes

Question description #

Ray Kurzweil and Mitchell Kapor summarize their reasons for taking the bet here.

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IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts1371

Capture #

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Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?
80%
Likely
Last updated: 2024-10-07

Ray Kurzweil and Mitchell Kapor summarize their reasons for taking the bet here.

Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 1371

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