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By 1 January 2067, will any medical interventions for healthy adults extend average lifespans by at least 25 years?

Metaculus
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52%
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Yes

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In 2017, Open Philanthropy conducted an investigation on the mechanisms of aging. A section of their writeup considers indefinite life extension, as distinct from modest extension of lifespan, and concludes, with 7% confidence, that by 2067 some collection of medical interventions for adults will have been shown to extend adult lifespan by at least 25 years.

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By 1 January 2067, will any medical interventions for healthy adults extend average lifespans by at least 25 years?
52%
About Even
Last updated: 2024-10-07

In 2017, Open Philanthropy conducted an investigation on the mechanisms of aging. A section of their writeup considers indefinite life extension, as distinct from modest extension of lifespan, and concludes, with 7% confidence, that by 2067 some...

Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 267

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