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Will US life expectancy at birth for both sexes fall below 75 years before 2040?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
25%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

According to the United Nations Development Program's 2019 Human Development Index, the average life expectancy at birth in the US (both sexes, average) is 78.9 years.

Life expectancy in the US has increased by just under a decade since 1950, when it was 68.14 years. However, in the last few years, life expectancy has actually declined slightly in the US. Contributing factors include obesity and related diseases, opioid abuse, and suicides.

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PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts314

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Will US life expectancy at birth for both sexes fall below 75 years before 2040?
25%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2024-10-07

According to the United Nations Development Program's 2019 Human Development Index, the average life expectancy at birth in the US (both sexes, average) is 78.9 years.

Life expectancy in the US has increased by just under a decade since 1950, when...

Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 314

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