In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?

Metaculus
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85%
Likely
Yes

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The Open Philanthropy Project makes charitable grants based on what could be described as effective altruist principles: "global humanitarianism", "risk tolerance and patience", and "action in the face of humanity".

More broadly, the justification for a grant could be considered to fall under "effective altruist principles" if it is made due to a belief that it represents among the best uses of money for improving the world, without regard to favoring a particular group, nation, species, etc., and without regard to the grantmaker's personal connection to or feelings about the cause.

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★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts122

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85%
Likely

The Open Philanthropy Project makes charitable grants based on what could be described as effective altruist principles: "global humanitarianism", "risk tolerance and patience", and "action in the face of humanity".

More broadly, the justification...

Last updated: 2024-04-19
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 122

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