Will artificial superintelligence precede the achievement of longevity escape velocity, if either occur by year 2300?

★★★☆☆

80%

Likely

Yes

Question description #

Longevity escape velocity is a hypothetical situation in which life-extending medicine extends life

longer than the time that is passing. For example, in a given year in which longevity escape velocity would be maintained, technological advances would increase life expectancy more than the year that just went by.

Indicators #

Indicator	Value
Stars	★★★☆☆
Platform	Metaculus
Number of forecasts	227