Dean Mullen and Jeff T Kaufman summarize their reasons for taking the bet here.
Dean Mullen writes,
Progression in animal rights and changes in societal attitudes will lead to dramatic changes in human perspectives of and the treatment of non-human animals. This I believe will culminate in slaughterhouses being made illegal in many nations by the middle of this century and I believe the United Kingdom will be among those countries.
and Jeff T Kaufman countered with,
Slaughterhouses will continue to be legal in the UK through 2050.
No country has banned slaughterhouses yet, and meat consumption is very popular. Going from "legal and common" to "completely banned" in thirty years seems very optimistic to me.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★★☆☆ |
| Platform | Metaculus |
| Number of forecasts | 161 |
Dean Mullen and Jeff T Kaufman summarize their reasons for taking the bet here.
Dean Mullen writes,
Progression in animal rights and changes in societal attitudes will lead to dramatic changes in human perspectives of and the treatment of...