Will Robin Hanson win a bet that the GPT line of language models will generate < $1Bn in customer revenue before 2025?
Yes
Question description
Per this tweet, Robin Hanson has bet Alex Tabarrok that
Systems in GPT line will by 2025 make <$1B in customer revenue clearly tied to such systems. If product contains such as component, but also has other features, one needs to attribute best estimate % of product revenue to this one.
Indicators
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★★☆☆ |
| Platform | Metaculus |
| Number of forecasts | 1272 |
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1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2024-09-11
Per this tweet, Robin Hanson has bet Alex Tabarrok that
Systems in GPT line will by 2025 make <$1B in customer revenue clearly tied to such systems. If product contains such as component, but also has other features, one needs to attribute best...
Last updated: 2024-09-11
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 1272
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