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Will life on Venus be confirmed before 2035?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Yes

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The lower cloud layer of Venus (47.5–50.5 km) is an exceptional target for exploration due to the favorable conditions for microbial life, including moderate temperatures and pressures (∼60°C and 1 atm), and the presence of micron-sized sulfuric acid aerosols.

Recently, scientists have discovered phosphine gas in the atmosphere of Venus that was earlier proposed as a biosignature gas in exoplanet atmospheres.

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IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts637

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Will life on Venus be confirmed before 2035?
1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2024-10-07

Related Questions on Metaculus:

  • When will the first evidence of extraterrestrial life be discovered?
  • Will a human made spaceship enter the Venusian atmosphere before 2030?
  • If alien life is discovered in the Solar System before 2050, which...
Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 637

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