Will Washington D.C. become a state before January 20, 2025?

Metaculus
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1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Yes

Question description

Residents of Washington DC have long been frustrated by a lack of (voting) representation in the US Congress, as well as local governance problems arising from the city's status as a federal district.

Members of Congress have in the past introduced legislation intending to convert much of the current federal district into a new state. President-elect Biden has in the past vocalized support for such resolutions.

There are numerous proposals for the exact details of such a transition, most including a prominent 'rump federal district' around the US Capitol building.

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PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts517

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1%
Exceptionally unlikely

Residents of Washington DC have long been frustrated by a lack of (voting) representation in the US Congress, as well as local governance problems arising from the city's status as a federal district.

Members of Congress have in the past introduced...

Last updated: 2024-02-23
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 517

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