Will US greenhouse gas emissions be halved by 2030?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
5%
Very unlikely
Yes

Question description

On April 22, 2021, President Joe Biden pledged to cut greenhouse gas emissions by 50 to 52% in 2030, compared to 2005 levels.

A statement from the White House writes:

Today, President Biden will announce a new target for the United States to achieve a 50-52 percent reduction from 2005 levels in economy-wide net greenhouse gas pollution in 2030 – building on progress to-date and by positioning American workers and industry to tackle the climate crisis.

According to the Center for Climate and Energy Solutions, net emissions in 2017 were 5,743 million metric tons of CO₂ equivalents, 12% lower than in 2005. Net emissions in 2020 were 21% below 2005 levels and 10.3% lower than 2019 levels, according to a preliminary report by Rhodium Group, but emission levels are expected to rise in 2021 as pandemic lockdown measures are reduced.

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PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts231

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5%
Very unlikely

On April 22, 2021, President Joe Biden pledged to cut greenhouse gas emissions by 50 to 52% in 2030, compared to 2005 levels.

A statement from the White House writes:

Today, President Biden will announce a new target for the United States to...

Last updated: 2024-07-14
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 231

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