Another question in this tournament asks Will there be a US-Russia war by 2050?. This question asks more specifically when such a war will occur, if it does occur by 2050. Taken together, these questions can inform our views on:
How much people today should prioritize reducing risks from nuclear war and certain other issues (such as possible biotechnology developments)
Which interventions would be most effective (for example, specific diplomatic efforts in the near-term vs working more slowly towards more lasting policy changes)
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★★☆☆ |
| Platform | Metaculus |
| Number of forecasts | 274 |
Another question in this tournament asks Will there be a US-Russia war by 2050?. This question asks more specifically when such a war will occur, if it does occur by 2050. Taken together, these questions can inform our views on: