How many nuclear weapons will be detonated offensively by 2050?
Question description
Currently, nine countries possess nuclear weapons. Below is a list of the estimated number of nuclear warheads in each country as of May 2021 (according to the Federation of American Scientists).
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Russia: 6,257 nuclear warheads
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US: 5,550 nuclear warheads
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China: 350 nuclear warheads
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France: 290 nuclear warheads
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UK: 225 nuclear warheads
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Pakistan: 165 nuclear warheads
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India: 160 nuclear warheads
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Israel: 90 nuclear warheads
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North Korea: Estimated 30-40 nuclear warheads with sufficient fissile materials for 45 nuclear warheads ("The[ir] number of assembled warheads is unknown, but lower.")
Indicators
Indicator | Value |
---|---|
Stars | ★★★☆☆ |
Platform | Metaculus |
Number of forecasts | 340 |
Capture
Currently, nine countries possess nuclear weapons. Below is a list of the estimated number of nuclear warheads in each country as of May 2021 (according to the Federation of American Scientists).
-
Russia: 6,257 nuclear warheads
-
US: 5,550...
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