Will the United States withdraw from any of its current mutual defence treaties by 2030?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
19%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description

Peter Zeihan in “The Accidental Superpower” predicts that the USA will withdraw from acting as the world police, this can be interpreted as the USA withdrawing from one or more of its current mutual defence treaties.

Currently the USA is party to 6 mutual defence treaties: Rio Treaty, North Atlantic Treaty, ANZUS Treaty and bilateral defence treaties with Philippines, South Korea and Japan.

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★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts112

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19%
Unlikely

Peter Zeihan in “The Accidental Superpower” predicts that the USA will withdraw from acting as the world police, this can be interpreted as the USA withdrawing from one or more of its current mutual defence treaties.

Currently the USA is party to 6...

Last updated: 2024-04-18
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 112

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