Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
10%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description

The People's Republic of China claims sovereignty over the land currently controlled by the Republic of China (Taiwan) and has been increasingly belligerent in recent years about their claim here. NBC news recently claimed that the threat of China invading Taiwan is "growing every day".

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Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts530

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10%
Unlikely

The People's Republic of China claims sovereignty over the land currently controlled by the Republic of China (Taiwan) and has been increasingly belligerent in recent years about their claim here. NBC news recently claimed that the threat of China...

Last updated: 2024-06-17
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 530

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