What percentage of black voters will vote for a Republican president in the 2024 US presidential election?

Metaculus
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In the 2020 US presidential election, around 12 percent of self-identified blacks voted for Trump. Black conservatives seem to have been more visible and vocal recently, leading some to believe there is a non-trivial general trend within the black community towards more conservative voting.

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In the 2020 US presidential election, around 12 percent of self-identified blacks voted for Trump. Black conservatives seem to have been more visible and vocal recently, leading some to believe there is a non-trivial general trend within the black...

Last updated: 2024-06-17
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Metaculus
Forecasts: 181

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