If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
80%
Likely
Yes

Question description

This question asks if there will be conflict between China and Taiwan killing >100 people before 2050.

Conditional on that question resolving positively, will any of the US, Australia, India, Japan, South Korea, Vietnam, New Zealand, France, UK, Canada, Germany, or the European Union have attempted a military strike on any Chinese forces in support of Taiwan?

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Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts350

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80%
Likely

This question asks if there will be conflict between China and Taiwan killing >100 people before 2050.

Conditional on that question resolving positively, will any of the US, Australia, India, Japan, South Korea, Vietnam, New Zealand, France, UK,...

Last updated: 2024-07-14
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 350

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