In the 2020 US Presidential election, major news desks called the election for Joe Biden in the week following the November election. Despite this, a concerted effort was launched using various methods in an attempt to overturn this result, such that betting markets still placed nontrivial probabilities on the result being overturned for much of the next two months until Joe Biden's inauguration.
This question asks if we will see a situation in 2025 where the newly inaugurated president is not from the party which was called by major news desks as having won the election.
Indicator | Value |
---|---|
Stars | ★★★☆☆ |
Platform | Metaculus |
Number of forecasts | 119 |
In the 2020 US Presidential election, major news desks called the election for Joe Biden in the week following the November election. Despite this, a concerted effort was launched using various methods in an attempt to overturn this result, such that...
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