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Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
45%
About Even
Yes

Question description #

A previous Metaculus question asked about a great power war and whether the US and others would intervene in a conflict over Taiwan. Some scholars have warned about a Thucydides Trap that could lead to a war between the US and China, over Taiwan, the South China Sea, or some other issue.

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Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts216

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Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?
45%
About Even
Last updated: 2024-10-07

A previous Metaculus question asked about a great power war and whether the US and others would intervene in a conflict over Taiwan. Some scholars have warned about a Thucydides Trap that could lead to a war between the US and China, over Taiwan,...

Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 216

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