Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?
Yes
Question description
A previous Metaculus question asked about a great power war and whether the US and others would intervene in a conflict over Taiwan. Some scholars have warned about a Thucydides Trap that could lead to a war between the US and China, over Taiwan, the South China Sea, or some other issue.
Indicators
Indicator | Value |
---|---|
Stars | ★★★☆☆ |
Platform | Metaculus |
Number of forecasts | 216 |
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Last updated: 2024-10-07
A previous Metaculus question asked about a great power war and whether the US and others would intervene in a conflict over Taiwan. Some scholars have warned about a Thucydides Trap that could lead to a war between the US and China, over Taiwan,...
Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 216
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