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Will Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed experience a significant leadership disruption before 2025?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
13%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Abiy Ahmed Ali has been Prime Minister of the Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia since 2018, and in 2021 he was re-elected with a huge majority to a five-year term. But he faces a spiraling civil war centered on Tigray Region, which is battering his economy and leading to increasing international pressure.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts376

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Will Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed experience a significant leadership disruption before 2025?
13%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2024-10-07

Abiy Ahmed Ali has been Prime Minister of the Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia since 2018, and in 2021 he was re-elected with a huge majority to a five-year term. But he faces a spiraling civil war centered on Tigray Region, which is battering...

Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 376

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