Will Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed experience a significant leadership disruption before 2025?
Yes
Question description
Abiy Ahmed Ali has been Prime Minister of the Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia since 2018, and in 2021 he was re-elected with a huge majority to a five-year term. But he faces a spiraling civil war centered on Tigray Region, which is battering his economy and leading to increasing international pressure.
Indicators
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★★☆☆ |
| Platform | Metaculus |
| Number of forecasts | 357 |
Capture
Resizable preview:
18%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2024-04-24
Abiy Ahmed Ali has been Prime Minister of the Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia since 2018, and in 2021 he was re-elected with a huge majority to a five-year term. But he faces a spiraling civil war centered on Tigray Region, which is battering...
Last updated: 2024-04-24
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 357
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