Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a for-profit corporation?

Metaculus
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90%
Very likely
Yes

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The question Date first AGI is publicly known. asks When will the first AGI be first developed and demonstrated?.

Today, research groups at both for-profit corporations and universities are working on developing general reasoning systems. Other possible institutions might be nationalized corporations, governments generally, and non-profit organizations.

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PlatformMetaculus
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90%
Very likely

The question Date first AGI is publicly known. asks When will the first AGI be first developed and demonstrated?.

Today, research groups at both for-profit corporations and universities are working on developing general reasoning systems. Other...

Last updated: 2024-05-05
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 233

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