Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a nationalized organization?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
14%
Unlikely
Yes

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The question Date first AGI is publicly known. asks When will the first AGI be first developed and demonstrated?.

Today, research groups at both for-profit corporations and universities are working on developing general reasoning systems. Other possible institutions might be nationalized corporations, governments generally, and non-profit organizations.

Nationalization of corporations that are working on AGI might happen due to the government perceiving the risks and power imbalance associated with a private organization with AGI technology to be unacceptable.

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★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts172

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14%
Unlikely

The question Date first AGI is publicly known. asks When will the first AGI be first developed and demonstrated?.

Today, research groups at both for-profit corporations and universities are working on developing general reasoning systems. Other...

Last updated: 2024-02-23
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 172

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