Will aerial drones deliver 100 million or more parcels in the US by 2050?
Question description
Package delivery by drone has been a goal of companies such as Amazon, who in 2020 won approval from the FAA to deliver packages by drone.
Neuroscientist and fiction author Erik Hoel wrote the following about drone delivery in the year 2050 in a blog post published August 25, 2021
Buzzing drones of all shapes and sizes will be common the sky (last year Amazon won FAA approval for its delivery drone service, opening the door for this).
According to the Pitney Bowes Parcel Shipping Index 20.2 billion parcels were shipped in 2020 in the United States.
If your mailpiece isn't a postcard, Letter, or a flat (large envelope) , then it's a parcel.
Indicators
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★★☆☆ |
| Platform | Metaculus |
| Number of forecasts | 85 |
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Package delivery by drone has been a goal of companies such as Amazon, who in 2020 won approval from the FAA to deliver packages by drone.
Neuroscientist and fiction author Erik Hoel wrote the following about drone delivery in the year 2050 in a...
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