Will more than 50% of US adults own a personal augmented reality device by 2050?

Metaculus
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62%
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Yes

Question description

The Merriam-Webster Dictionary defines augmented reality (AR) as

an enhanced version of reality created by the use of technology to overlay digital information on an image of something being viewed through a device (such as a smartphone camera)

Some expect AR devices to be much more prevalent in the future. Neuroscientist and fiction author Erik Hoel wrote the following about augmented reality in the year 2050 in a blog post published August 25, 2021

By 2050 pretty much everyone will be wearing smart glasses for augmented reality, and eventually these glasses will replace a lot of phones (no one will carry a wallet in 2050).

According to a PEW survey, 85% of US adults said they owned a smartphone in 2021.

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PlatformMetaculus
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62%
Likely

The Merriam-Webster Dictionary defines augmented reality (AR) as

an enhanced version of reality created by the use of technology to overlay digital information on an image of something being viewed through a device (such as a smartphone...

Last updated: 2024-07-14
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Metaculus
Forecasts: 157

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