Related questions on Metaculus:

• Will the total yield of nuclear weapons offensively detonated by 2050 exceed 1000Mt, if any offensive detonation occurs?

• How many nuclear weapons will be detonated offensively by 2050, if at least one offensive detonation occurs?

• What will be the largest yield (in kt) nuclear weapon offensively detonated by 2050, if any offensive detonation occurs?

For context and motivation for this and other questions in this tournament on nuclear proliferation, arsenal sizes, or yields, see here.

The total yield used depends on both the number of weapons used and the yield of each of those weapons. This tournament has or will soon have other questions on the number of nuclear weapons that'll be used (if any are), the total yield of arsenals, and the largest yield weapon that will be possessed or used.