By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
5%
Very unlikely
Yes

Question description

The first discovered interstellar object (1I`Oumuamua) displayed a curious combination of properties that have led some to speculate that it may be an artificial object from an intelligent extraterrestrial civilization. While the majority of the scientific community believes that `Oumuamua originated through natural astrophysical processes, the formation mechanism of such objects remains unknown. This question is part of a fortified essay on interstellar objects.

Indicators

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts134

Capture

Resizable preview:
5%
Very unlikely

The first discovered interstellar object (1I`Oumuamua) displayed a curious combination of properties that have led some to speculate that it may be an artificial object from an intelligent extraterrestrial civilization. While the majority of the...

Last updated: 2024-05-15
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 134

Embed

<iframe src="https://https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/metaculus-8649" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />