Will WHO add another SARS-CoV-2 variant to their Variants of Concern in 2022?

Metaculus
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71%
Likely
Yes

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The World Health Organization publishes a list of Variants of Concern (VoC), which is currently WHO's most serious classification of SARS-Cov-2 variants. On November 26, 2021, WHO added Omicron to this classification, bringing the total number of VoCs to 5.

Will WHO add another SARS-CoV-2 variant to their Variants of Concern in 2022?

This question will resolve positively if anytime between December 24, 2021 to January 1, 2023, the World Health Organization adds a new SARS-CoV-2 variant to their list of Variants of Concern. This may include a reclassification of any variant or descendent of a variant currently known in December 24, 2021 as a Variant of Interest or Variant Under Monitoring. Classifications by other sources or organizations such as the US CDC or ECDC are irrelevant to the resolution of this question.

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71%
Likely

The World Health Organization publishes a list of Variants of Concern (VoC), which is currently WHO's most serious classification of SARS-Cov-2 variants. On November 26, 2021, WHO added Omicron to this classification, bringing the total number of...

Last updated: 2022-08-08
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 236

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