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Longbets series: will the annual average temperature anomaly above the 1850-1899 baseline be 2.0C or higher by 2037?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
23%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Related Questions on Metaculus:

  • In which year will the 2˚C climate threshold be crossed?
  • Will there be at least 2˚C of global warming by 2100?

This question concerns a longbets.org bet over the global temperature. John Mitchell and Zeke Hausfather summarize their reasons for taking the bet here.

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IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts122

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Longbets series: will the annual average temperature anomaly above the 1850-1899 baseline be 2.0C or higher by 2037?
23%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2024-10-07

Related Questions on Metaculus:

  • In which year will the 2˚C climate threshold be crossed?
  • Will there be at least 2˚C of global warming by 2100?

This question concerns a longbets.org bet over the global temperature. John Mitchell and Zeke...

Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 122

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