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Will humanity find and exploit a new source of xenon on Earth before 2040?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
25%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Xenon is a rare noble gas used in various applications such as ion propulsion, lighting, and medicine. However, xenon is much scarcer in Earth’s atmosphere than expected based on observations of other matter in the universe. This is known as the mystery of the missing xenon.

Some scientists speculate that the "missing" xenon may be sequestered somewhere underground. Others believe it may have left the planet long ago.

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IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts56

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Will humanity find and exploit a new source of xenon on Earth before 2040?
25%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2024-10-07

Xenon is a rare noble gas used in various applications such as ion propulsion, lighting, and medicine. However, xenon is much scarcer in Earth’s atmosphere than expected based on observations of other matter in the universe. This is known as the...

Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 56

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