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Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Polymarket
★★★★☆
13%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★★☆
PlatformPolymarket
Liquidity$11k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
13%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2026-02-24

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve...

Last updated: 2026-02-24
★★★★☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $11k

Embed #

<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/polymarket-1194695" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

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