On March 26, the Brazilian Supreme Court ruled that Jair Bolsonaro will stand charges for an attempted coup. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/26/world/americas/brazil-bolsonaro-trial-coup-2022-elections.html

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jair Bolsonaro is found guilty of any charges related to the coup attempt by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Bolsonaro's charges are dismissed, end due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, or a mistrial is declared for the relevant charges, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source will be an official judgement delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.