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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?

Polymarket
★★★★☆
35%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.

Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.

Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.

This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★★☆
PlatformPolymarket
Liquidity$50k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
35%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-05-09

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

If the agreement is...

Last updated: 2025-05-09
★★★★☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $50k

Embed #

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