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Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?

Polymarket
★★☆☆☆
90%
Likely
Yes

Question description #

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs a reconciliation bill that explicitly extends the current 37% top individual income tax rate set by the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) in the United States by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority.

This market will resolve based on the first reconciliation bill signed into law by Donald Trump during the market’s timeframe.

If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformPolymarket
Liquidity$140

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
90%
Likely
Last updated: 2025-07-01

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs a reconciliation bill that explicitly extends the current 37% top individual income tax rate set by the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) in the United States by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET....

Last updated: 2025-07-01
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $140

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