MetaforecastStatus
SearchToolsAbout

‌

‌
‌
‌
‌
‌
‌

Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Polymarket
★★☆☆☆
14%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.

If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformPolymarket
Liquidity$918

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30?
14%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2026-01-11

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Results...

Last updated: 2026-01-11
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $918

Embed #

<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/polymarket-996332" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

Preview