Which of these 13 Cabinet members will leave first?

PredictIt
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54%
Janet Yellen
Janet Yellen
Alejandro Mayorkas
Xavier Becerra
Lloyd Austin
Merrick Garland

Question description

The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the first individual, among those named in the contracts in this market, to cease formally to hold the Cabinet or Cabinet-level position that the individual holds upon launch of this market on October 6, 2021. No additional contracts shall be added to this market following its launch. In the event that the time and date upon which two or more of the listed individuals cease to formally hold their respective offices is identical or so similar as to be indistinguishable, as determined at PredictIt's sole discretion, the contract listing the individual with the first alphabetical last name among the individuals in question will resolve as Yes, while all other contracts will resolve as No. At 11:59 p.m. (ET) 14 calendar days following an officially announced effective date of at least one listed individual's departure from such office, if this market is not already resolved due to insufficient clarity regarding the relative timing of the departure of two or more such individuals, the alphabetical tie breaker described above will be used to resolve this market. PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final. End Date: N/A

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Resizable preview:
54%
Janet Yellen
10%
Alejandro Mayorkas
6%
Xavier Becerra
5%
Lloyd Austin
4%
Pete Buttigieg
Last updated: 2022-10-01
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