Did Pakistan know that Osama Bin Laden was hiding in Abbottabad?

Rootclaim
★★★★☆
82%
Yes, Pakistani intelligence (but not the government) knew that Bin Laden was in Abbottabad.
Yes, Pakistani intelligence (but not the government) knew that Bin Laden was in Abbottabad.
No, Pakistan didn't know that Bin Laden was in Abbottabad.
Yes, the Pakistani government knew that Bin Laden was in Abbottabad.

Question description

Although Osama Bin Laden became the world's most wanted man after September 11, 2001, with a 25 million dollar bounty on his head, it took almost a decade before he was finally located and killed. On May 2, 2011, two dozen US Navy Seals landed outside of a large compound in Abbottabad, Pakistan, shooting and killing Osama Bin Laden. Bin Laden's body was later dropped in the sea. The raid on the compound, the killing of Bin Laden, and the revelation that he had apparently been hiding out in Pakistan for years, caught the world by surprise. A number of questions were raised, including whether the government of Pakistan, or its military intelligence, had been aware of Bin Laden's presence in the country, and whether the US had informed Pakistan of the impending raid. Note: this analysis assumes that the US account of the capture is accurate. Some have doubted the veracity and accuracy of this account, a controversy that may be analyzed by Rootclaim in the future.

Indicators

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★★☆
PlatformRootclaim
Number of forecasts1

Capture

Resizable preview:
82%
Yes, Pakistani intelligence (but not the government) knew that Bin Laden was in Abbottabad.
10%
No, Pakistan didn't know that Bin Laden was in Abbottabad.
9%
Yes, the Pakistani government knew that Bin Laden was in Abbottabad.
Last updated: 2024-05-29
★★★★☆
Rootclaim
Forecasts: 1

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