Actual estimate: ~2% (~1 in 50)
See this post for some commentary: Some thoughts on Toby Ord’s existential risk estimates
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | X-risk estimates |
Actual estimate: ~2% (~1 in 50)
See this post for some commentary: Some thoughts on Toby Ord’s existential risk estimates