We aren't currently maintaining Metaforecast. We hope to do so again in the future.
Actual estimate: At or above 30%
The probability of the human race avoiding extinction for the next five centuries is encouragingly high, perhaps as high as 70 percent
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | X-risk estimates |
Actual estimate: At or above 30%
The probability of the human race avoiding extinction for the next five centuries is encouragingly high, perhaps as high as 70 percent