15%
Vivek Ramaswamy
13%
Tim Scott
13%
Kari Lake
9%
Nikki Haley
6%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
★★★★☆
Betfair
Volume: £53k
89%
Pedro Sanchez
11%
Alberto Nunez Feijoo
< 1%
Santiago Abascal
< 1%
Yolanda Diaz
★★★★☆
Betfair
Volume: £156k
81%
Keir Starmer
3%
Penny Mordaunt
2%
Boris Johnson
2%
Kemi Badenoch
1%
Nigel Farage
★★★★☆
Betfair
Volume: £94k
17%
Andy Burnham
16%
Wes Streeting
12%
Yvette Cooper
10%
Lisa Nandy
8%
Bridget Phillipson
★★★★☆
Betfair
Volume: £64k
19%
Kemi Badenoch
15%
Penny Mordaunt
10%
Gillian Keegan
9%
James Cleverly
5%
Suella Braverman
★★★★☆
Betfair
Volume: £25k
71%
Kamala Harris
8%
Gavin Newsom
4%
Susan Rice
4%
Michelle Obama
2%
Gretchen Whitmer
★★★★☆
Betfair
Volume: £18k
80%
Democratic Party
18%
Republican Party
2%
Any Other
★★★★☆
Betfair
Volume: £106k
50%
Democratic Party
48%
Republican Party
3%
Any Other
★★★★☆
Betfair
Volume: £215k
67%
Liberal Democrats
16%
Conservative
13%
Labour
3%
Independent
< 1%
Green
★★★★☆
Betfair
Volume: £24k
★★★★☆
Betfair
Volume: £43k
61%
Joe Biden
10%
Donald Trump
6%
Gavin Newsom
4%
Michelle Obama
4%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr
★★★★☆
Betfair
Volume: £88k
33%
Joe Biden
25%
Donald Trump
7%
Vivek Ramaswamy
5%
Gavin Newsom
4%
Ron DeSantis
★★★★☆
Betfair
Volume: £4827k
1%
Exceptionally unlikely

If Boris Johnson is unable to fulfil his role due to health reasons this market will be void If any doubt exists as to the outcome of the market, Betfair may determine, using its reasonable discretion, how to settle the market based on all the...

★★★☆☆
Betfair
Volume: £125k
★★★☆☆
Betfair
Volume: £6.5k
97%
2024 or later
3%
2023

This market will be settled on the morning of the General Election following the start of voting or on Jan 1 2024. Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time in the event that Betfair is...

★★★☆☆
Betfair
Volume: £526k
48%
2025 or later
48%
2024
4%
2023
★★★☆☆
Betfair
Volume: £28k
80%
2024 or later
20%
2023

For settlement purposes, being in an "acting Leader" role (eg while a successor is being sought) will be included as the individual's tenure as Leader. Customers are entirely responsible for their positions at all times. Betfair will not be...

★★★☆☆
Betfair
Volume: £2.5k
98%
2024 or later
2%
2023

We will settle this market on the date the Labour Party officially announce their new Permanent Party Leader after Keir Starmer. Temporary/interim leaders do not count. If a temporary/interim leader is appointed we will wait until the date of the...

★★★☆☆
Betfair
Volume: £19k
★★★☆☆
Betfair
Volume: £53k
92%
Male
8%
Female

This market will be turned in-play at the stated time on the day of the election. Thereafter the market will not be actively managed. Customers are entirely responsible for their bets at all times. This market will be settled according to the...

★★★☆☆
Betfair
Volume: £25k
40%
Daisy Cooper
12%
Sarah Olney
10%
Munira Wilson
10%
Layla Moran
9%
Alistair Carmichael
★★☆☆☆
Betfair
Volume: £350

Can't find what you were looking for? Show more, or suggest a question on Metaculus