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Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
98%
Virtually certain
Last updated: 2026-01-31

The ruling coalition of the Netherlands collapsed on June 3, 2025. New parliamentary elections are scheduled for October 29.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of the...

Last updated: 2026-01-31
★★★☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $7.7k
Will Z.ai have the #3 AI model at the end of January 2026?
< 1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2026-01-31

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on January 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from...

Last updated: 2026-01-31
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $7.2k
Will "Melania" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
38%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2026-01-31

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rotten Tomatoes “All Critics” Tomatometer score for Melania (2026) is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on February 2, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If, for any...

Last updated: 2026-01-31
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $170
Will Opinion launch a token by September 30, 2026?
> 99%
Virtually certain
Last updated: 2026-01-31

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Opinion officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable....

Last updated: 2026-01-31
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $3.6k
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
< 1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2026-01-31

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an...

Last updated: 2026-01-31
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $2.9k
Will Trump meet with King Mohammed VI of Morocco in January 2026?
< 1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2026-01-31

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed...

Last updated: 2026-01-31
★★★☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $4.4k
Will the House pass any articles of impeachment by the end of 2026?
25%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2026-01-31

This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that the U.S. House of Representatives approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of any individual, subsequent to the launch of this market on December 15, 2025 and by the End Date listed...

Last updated: 2026-01-31
★★★☆☆
PredictIt
Shares vol.: 2.5k
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
17%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2026-01-31

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of...

Last updated: 2026-01-31
★★★★☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $89k
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?
53%
About Even
Last updated: 2026-01-31

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise,...

Last updated: 2026-01-31
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $1.2k
Will any of Trump’s trials end in a hung jury?
3%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2025-05-19

Donald Trump has 4 criminal trials coming up:

Jan 6th case

GA election case

Classified documents case

Manhattan hush money case

Will any of them end with a hung jury? If Trump gets another conviction, that will not count for purposes of this...

Last updated: 2025-05-19
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 29
Volume: M8.2k
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score
54%
About Even
Last updated: 2026-01-31

In the upcoming Serie A game between Bologna FC 1909 and AC Milan, scheduled for February 3 at 2:45 PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Bologna FC 1909 and AC Milan each score at least one goal during the game.

This market will resolve...

Last updated: 2026-01-31
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $1.9k
Elon Musk lands on the moon anytime through 2025
2%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2025-05-16

Crash land or survive both count. As long as it's physically musk+moon

Last updated: 2025-05-16
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 18
Volume: M1.7k
Will a human walk on Mercury before 2040?
7%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2025-05-27

Resolves as YES if a human ventures onto the surface of Mercury before January 1st 2040.

Questions with the same criteria:

@/RemNi/will-a-human-venture-onto-the-surfa-c07a9e6b1dc2 (this...

Last updated: 2025-05-27
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 18
Volume: M1.5k
Will Titan launch a token by September 30, 2026?
69%
Likely
Last updated: 2026-01-31

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Titan (https://x.com/Titan_Exchange) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The token must be actively and publicly...

Last updated: 2026-01-31
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $465
Will Derrick Henry win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?
< 1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2026-01-31

This is a polymarket on which player will be named the 2025–26 NFL Offensive Player of the Year.

If the listed player is named the 2025-26 NFL Offensive Player of the Year, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If...

Last updated: 2026-01-31
★★★☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $28k
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
4%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2026-01-31

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET..

Last updated: 2026-01-31
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $14k
Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?
54%
About Even
Last updated: 2026-01-31

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethena (ENA/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 15:45 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified...

Last updated: 2026-01-31
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $543
Will Geraldo Alckmin be the President of Brazil by Dec 31st 2025?
11%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-06-06

This market resolves to YES if Vice-President elected Geraldo Alckmin is swore into office by Dec 31st 2025.

I may bet on this market.

Last updated: 2025-06-06
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 19
Volume: M2.2k
Will Trump say "Clinton" during the State of the Union address?
33%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2026-01-31

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says...

Last updated: 2026-01-31
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $277
Will this question get over 999.5 traders by 2030
75%
Likely
Last updated: 2025-05-11

Background Manifold prediction markets vary widely in trader participation, with factors like topic relevance, market duration, and visibility influencing engagement. Markets about meta-predictions (predictions about the market itself) can create...

Last updated: 2025-05-11
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 18
Volume: M1.1k
Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2026-01-31?
31%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2026-01-31

In the upcoming game, scheduled for January 31, 2026 If Kilmarnock FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If...

Last updated: 2026-01-31
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $40k

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