This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Iowa.
If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will...
This market resolves yes if the winner of the 2024 United States presidential election remains alive and in office until Inauguration Day in 2028.
Resolves YES if total world oil production declines in 2026 and 2027 from a peak in or before the year 2025, AND there is a majority consensus among world energy economics experts that peak oil was likely reached in or before 2025.
Resolves NO if...
This market will resolve according to the public ticker symbol used by SpaceX in an IPO (Initial Public Offering) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be...
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held...
In the upcoming Ligue 1 game between FC Nantes and Angers SCO, scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Nantes vs. Angers SCO match originally scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET,...
Resolves Yes if there's credible news coverage of two Neuralink patients sending any kind of signal/information to each other by 2030.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground,...
The two noteworthy dips in U.S. employment over the past twenty years came with the 2008 recession and the 2020 Covid pandemic. There is now growing anxiety that the upcoming AI revolution might displace jobs on a far greater scale, in everything...
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for 2026-03-03: If Lehigh Valley Phantoms win, the market will resolve to "Lehigh Valley Phantoms". If Utica Comets win, the market will resolve to "Utica Comets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain...
From the ACX 2025 Prediction Contest:
(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/31620)I will resolve this according to the Metaculus resolution: This question will resolve as Yes if, during calendar year 2025, Israel establishes a formal...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Cambria's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The token must be actively, publicly...
Must be a directing and or writing credit
The Cryonics Insitute, founded in 1976, is one of two major cryonics organizations in the United States that cryopreserves people upon their legal deaths. You can find more about them on their about page.
A classic critique of cryonics is that the...
This resolves YES if the IMO grand challenge is completed before the end of 2025 according to the rules on the site https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/ according to the IMO Grand Challenge committee. This requires an AI to generate...
[tweet]resolves YES if, before this market closes, Ye publicly, earnestly does any of the following:
calls himself trans/transgender
calls himself nonbinary
clearly identifies with any gender but solely and wholly male
overt jokes won't count,...
[image]Resolution Criteria
This market resolves to YES if by market close, April 30 2028, there exists at least one European cloud service provider that:
Has at least 15% market share in the European cloud market
Is headquartered in Europe with...
Can't find what you were looking for? Show more, or suggest a question on Metaculus