In the upcoming match between VP.Prodigy and Rune Eaters in the EPL Championship Playoffs, scheduled for January 11 at 8:00am ET:

This market will resolve to "Over" if VP.Prodigy and Rune Eaters play 3 or more games in this series.

If fewer than 3...

Note: This question is a looser operationalization of this other question.

As large language models (LLMs) become widely adopted and increasingly powerful, AI and cybersecurity experts are concerned that LLMs could potentially be used in the...

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may...

This market is part of a post: Manifold for CBT

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

• Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or...

<small>Note: this is a long term question which will not count toward the tournament leaderboard. See the tournament page for details.</small>

Wheat protein is currently one of the most popular forms of alternative protein in plant based products,...

In the upcoming EFL Championship game between Charlton Athletic FC and Sheffield United FC, scheduled for January 17 at 10:00 AM ET:

This market will resolve to "Over" if Charlton Athletic FC and Sheffield United FC combine to score 4 or more goals...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during January 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only prices...

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Vezina Trophy.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Vezina Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for...

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Galan and Hugo Grenier in the Australian Open, Qualification ATP, scheduled for January 12 2026. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or...

BUY: good SHORT: bad Market trades based on sentiment & never resolves.

This market refers to the tennis match between Otto Virtanen and Nicolas Mejia in the Australian Open, Qualification ATP, scheduled for January 12 2026. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will...

This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentinian, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.

This market will resolve according to the number the...

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between January 2, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward...

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on January 31, 2026, 12:00...

This market will resolve to "Up" if, on Monday, January 12, 2026, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is higher than the previous trading day's official settlement price for the same Active Month...

The paper https://arxiv.org/pdf/2410.00965 is under review by the Astrophysical Journal (ApJ). In it we apply causal discovery to astronomical data for the first time. We find that in elliptical galaxies it is the properties of the host galaxy that...

Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being. Unlike narrow or weak AI, which is...

Instagram recently announced Threads, a text based social media application integrated with Instagram. Instagram announced they are planning on supporting ActivityPub a protocol for social networking.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will...