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In Little v. Hecox, the SCOTUS will affirm the lower court's decision
3%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2026-02-23

3.13% (1 out of 32) of FantasySCOTUS players predict that the lower court's decision will be affirmed. FantasySCOTUS overall predicts an outcome of Reverse 6-3. Historically, FantasySCOTUS has chosen the correct side 100.00% of the time.

Last updated: 2026-02-23
★★☆☆☆
FantasySCOTUS
Forecasts: 32
Will I be able to buy human milk or lab produced human milk in a supermarket in the USA by the end of 2029?
9%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2025-05-13

Update 2025-02-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on the type of supermarket:

The supermarket must be a location that a typical consumer can visit.

It should be a conventional retail outlet, not a specialized or restricted...

Last updated: 2025-05-13
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 15
Volume: M525
Will China join the Board of Peace?
1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2026-02-23

Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters..

Last updated: 2026-02-23
★★★☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $6.7k
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
50%
Up
50%
Down
Last updated: 2026-02-23

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this...

Last updated: 2026-02-23
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $14k
Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026?
17%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2026-02-23

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Bieber and/or Hailey Bieber announce their intention to legally separate or divorce between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement...

Last updated: 2026-02-23
★★★☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $1.6k
Will Robert Thomas win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
< 1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2026-02-23

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Hart Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution...

Last updated: 2026-02-23
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $4.6k
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?
12%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2026-02-23

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Zcash (ZEC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 17:35 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified...

Last updated: 2026-02-23
★★★★☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $6.8k
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
9%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2026-02-23

This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire Anthropic by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Mergers where Anthropic is subsumed by...

Last updated: 2026-02-23
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $2.6k
Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on February 27?
30%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2026-02-23

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this...

Last updated: 2026-02-23
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $63
Will the population of Canada be reported to have hit 45 million people before 2028?
13%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-05-18

Statistics Canada's numbers will be the source upon which resolution will rest.

If the population of Canada is reported by Statistics Canada as being over 45 million at any point before 2028 (whether by their realtime population clock, in a...

Last updated: 2025-05-18
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 11
Volume: M384
Will any cryptocurrency have a market cap of at least $100 billion at the end of 2026?
96%
Very likely
Last updated: 2025-06-10

In 2022 dollars.

Last updated: 2025-06-10
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 160
Volume: M29k
Perena FDV above $300M one day after launch?
9%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2026-02-23

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Perena's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly...

Last updated: 2026-02-23
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $4.7k
Will Palestine be fully recognized as a United Nations member state by the end of 2026?
9%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2025-05-13

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_recognition_of_the_State_of_Palestine

[image]@/strutheo/will-palestine-be-fully-recognized

@/strutheo/will-palestine-be-fully-recognized-38ad147ff39a

Last updated: 2025-05-13
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 18
Volume: M2.8k
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2040?
67%
Likely
Last updated: 2025-04-28

Resolves positively if, by market close, Manifold Markets is acquired by a company or individual. Requires a sale of at least 50% of company equity for a positive resolution.

Last updated: 2025-04-28
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 12
Volume: M157
Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?
47%
About Even
Last updated: 2026-02-23

Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of the...

Last updated: 2026-02-23
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $569
Will Alyssa Vance and Milo Nygren-Cassels have a baby?
74%
Likely
Last updated: 2025-04-23

Last fall, I (Alyssa) got engaged to my boyfriend (Milo); right now we live together in downtown DC. We both like kids, but I am trans, so having a baby would be harder for us than it is for most couples.

This market resolves YES if there is a baby...

Last updated: 2025-04-23
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 22
Volume: M1.5k
Valencia CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5
88%
Under
13%
Over
Last updated: 2026-02-23

In the upcoming La Liga game between Valencia CF and CA Osasuna, scheduled for March 1 at 10:15 AM ET:

This market will resolve to "Over" if Valencia CF and CA Osasuna combine to score 5 or more goals in this game.

If the combined total is less...

Last updated: 2026-02-23
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $2.7k
Will California independence be voted on in 2026?
12%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-06-17

Resolves YES if the California Independence Plebiscite Initiative (or any other initiative with the goal of advancing California independence) is voted on in the 2026 election in California.

Practically, this means:

It must get enough signatures to...

Last updated: 2025-06-17
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 21
Volume: M2.3k
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?
20%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2026-02-23

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT between 16 December '25 16:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High"...

Last updated: 2026-02-23
★★★★☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $12k
By 2028, will AI be able to make a full animated movie with consistent plot, design and characters with no input besides the original prompt?
55%
About Even
Last updated: 2025-06-16

https://twitter.com/solarise_webdev/status/1598708384441798656?t=gSyX2gzixpMryYOsyyxt7A&s=19

Close date updated to 2027-12-31 6:59 pm

Dec 2, 12:26pm: By 2028, will AI be able to make a full animated movie with consistent plot, design and...

Last updated: 2025-06-16
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 180
Volume: M77k
Will the USMCA be extended promptly at its July 2026 joint review?
55%
About Even
Last updated: 2024-10-07

The United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) is a trade deal between the United States, Mexico, and Canada that replaced the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). Signed on November 30, 2018, and implemented on July 1, 2020, the USMCA...

Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 20

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