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Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January?
< 1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2026-02-01

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1 minute candle for ENA/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final High price equal to or greater than the price...

Last updated: 2026-02-01
★★★☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $5.5k
Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2025?
96%
Very likely
Last updated: 2025-06-06

Resolves as YES if Vladimir Putin is the leader of Russia on December 31st 2025

Questions with the same criteria:

@/RemNiFHfMN/will-vladimir-putin-be-president-of-1d6af8492e40

@/RemNiFHfMN/will-vladimir-putin-be-president-of-c5fc19dfa944 (this...

Last updated: 2025-06-06
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 47
Volume: M19k
Will the AIMO (Artificial Intelligence Mathematical Olympiad) Grand Prize be won before 2026?
45%
About Even
Last updated: 2025-05-23

The AIMO (Artificial Intelligence Mathematical Olympiad) Grand Prize is a $5 million award for the first publicly shared AI model to achieve a performance equivalent to a gold medal in the International Mathematical Olympiad (IMO).

This market...

Last updated: 2025-05-23
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 14
Volume: M3.6k
If the US bans TikTok (or forces its sale), will the UK do the same within a year?
6%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2025-06-12

It now looks quite likely that the US will ban TikTok, or force Bytedance to sell it to partially sell to a US company, will the UK do the same within a year?

The one year timer begins once the US passes into law restrictions on TikTok. If Bytedance...

Last updated: 2025-06-12
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 61
Volume: M4.7k
Will JD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
22%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2026-02-01

This market will resolve according to the winner of the League of Legends Pro League (LPL) 2026 season.

If the 2026 LPL season is postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this...

Last updated: 2026-02-01
★★★☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $898
Will retail and restaurant locations in the US decline by over 50% between 2020 and 2050?
39%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2024-10-07

E-commerce has grown in popularity and has caused many to speculate that physical shopping may become obsolete in the future.

Physical department store locations have faced a slow decline in recent years, with a sharper decline exacerbated by the...

Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 93
Will AI replace most people in call-centers by 2030?
79%
Likely
Last updated: 2025-04-25

Cost Savings: AI chatbots could save the call center industry a significant amount in labor costs per year. This is a major incentive for businesses to invest in AI technology.

Technological Advancements: Advances in natural language processing and...

Last updated: 2025-04-25
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 52
Volume: M3.5k
Will the woolly mammoth be de-extincted before 2040?
68%
Likely
Last updated: 2025-04-12

Jan 29, 4:27pm: Will the wooly mammoth be de-extincted before 2040? → Will the woolly mammoth be de-extincted before 2040?

Last updated: 2025-04-12
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 73
Volume: M6.0k
Will another Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028?
58%
About Even
Last updated: 2024-10-07

The Millennium Prize Problems are seven problems in mathematics that were stated by the Clay Mathematics Institute in 2000. The problems are:

  • Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture

  • Hodge conjecture

  • Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness

  • P...

Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 236
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
2%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2026-02-01

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on...

Last updated: 2026-02-01
★★★☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $7.9k
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?
50%
Over
50%
Under
Last updated: 2026-02-01

In the upcoming match between LOS and paiN Gaming in the CBLOL Cup Regular Season, scheduled for January 31 at 1:00PM ET:

This market is about the total kills in Game 1.

This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 1 is 30 or more....

Last updated: 2026-02-01
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $2
Will Tyreek Hill win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?
< 1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2026-02-01

This is a polymarket on which player will be named the 2025–26 NFL Offensive Player of the Year.

If the listed player is named the 2025-26 NFL Offensive Player of the Year, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If...

Last updated: 2026-02-01
★★★☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $32k
Will the animal rights movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?
77%
Likely
Last updated: 2025-04-04

Resolves according to my subjective judgement. I will welcome stakeholder input when resolving the question but reserve the right to resolve contrary to the opinion of market participants if necessary. I reserve the right to bet on this market but...

Last updated: 2025-04-04
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 70
Volume: M3.5k
Will Polish Americans vote for the winner of the Presidential Election?
95%
Very likely
Last updated: 2025-05-04

The Polish-American voting bloc has a strong track record of voting for the winner of presidential elections: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polish-American_vote#Presidential_voting_results

Resolves YES iff ≥50% of votes cast by Polish Americans in...

Last updated: 2025-05-04
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 11
Volume: M695
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
10%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2026-02-01

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Last updated: 2026-02-01
★★★★☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $43k
Will Zion Williamson lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?
< 1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2026-02-01

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes the 2025–26 NBA regular season with the highest points per-game average of any qualified player.

In the event of a tie for the highest points per-game average, this market will resolve...

Last updated: 2026-02-01
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $823
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 40-41°F on February 1?
13%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2026-02-01

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Feb '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information...

Last updated: 2026-02-01
★★★☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $631
Another Google "Ultra" model in 2025?
38%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-06-18

Recently they've released Flash and Pro models, but no Ultra model. Will they release / announce an "Ultra" model in 2025?

Last updated: 2025-06-18
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 60
Volume: M20k
Total Kills Over/Under 61.5 in Game 2?
51%
Under
50%
Over
Last updated: 2026-02-01

In the upcoming match between Team Yandex and Aurora in the FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffs, scheduled for January 30 at 11:00AM ET:

This market is about the total kills in Game 2.

This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 2...

Last updated: 2026-02-01
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $0
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
< 1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2026-02-01

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the...

Last updated: 2026-02-01
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $2.5k
Who will win the 2026 Wyoming Republican Senate nomination?
92%
Harriet Hageman
3%
Reid Rasner
3%
Mark Gordon
2%
Jimmy Skovgard
Last updated: 2026-02-01
Last updated: 2026-02-01
★★★☆☆
PredictIt
Shares vol.: 1.1k

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