The United States has suspended operations of the Embassy in Damascus since February 6, 2012. As of market creation, the Government of the Czech Republic serves as the protecting power for U.S. interests in Syria and provides limited consular...
Will the neutrino fields find a military use by 2050? In order to count the technology must directly use neutrinos (what I mean is described more carefully below). The technology must clearly be consequential from a military/security standpoint. It...
Resolves as YES if at least 5 thousand humanoid robots have been manufactured before January 1st 2030.
Different number of robots:
@/RemNi/will-2k-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-0686840a9b86
@/RemNi/will-5k-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-cada66fe0215...
Update 2025-04-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution criteria update:
If Nvidia receives any export licenses to China (even on a case-by-case basis), the market will resolve as No.
If Nvidia does not receive any export licenses to...
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between October 2, 2025, 11:00 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $80,000 or lower. Otherwise, this market will...
Background:
Global carbon emissions, primarily driven by fossil fuel combustion, industrial activities, and deforestation, are a major contributor to climate change. International efforts, including those under the Paris Agreement, aim to reduce...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the House in 2026?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026?) is priced over the listed value for any...
Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/27415/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
This question will resolve...
This is a polymarket to predict which player will finish as the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season.
If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025-26 EPL season, the market will resolve to "Yes"....
[tweet]This market will resolve YES if before January 1, 2026:
Levy Rozman conducts a publicly announced or advertised chess coaching session with Hans Niemann
The session must be explicitly framed as coaching/training (not just playing casual...
I will give it a big list of markets and explain how the site works. If the trades it suggests end up being profitable, this resolves YES. This resolves NO as soon as enough markets resolve to make it unprofitable. I will ask the model to make trades...
According to Wikipedia:
The Abraham Accords are a series of joint normalization statements initially between Israel, the United Arab Emirates, and Bahrain, effective since September 15, 2020.
The Accords were later joined by Morocco (2020) and...
In the upcoming game, scheduled for December 6, 2025 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed..
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2025–2026 NBA Western Conference Finals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2025–26...
AI Summary of the new regulation: In January 2025, the Biden Administration implemented sweeping new AI export controls through an "Interim Final Rule" days before leaving office. The regulation requires global licensing for AI/GPU exports and...
Artificial intelligence safety is an area of research focused on ensuring that AI systems are developed and deployed responsibly, avoiding unintended consequences and minimizing risks associated with their use. Some individuals, driven by the urgency...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final trading day of December 2025 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is...
This market will resolve based on the price of the COMEX Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) as of the final market close price in 2025.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket..
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