Most basic foods in Germany are only taxed by 7% VAT. Plant-based milk is currently taxed at the default 19%. Recently, the Green party and the governing SPD talked about reducing the VAT for plant-based milks.

The predicted yes value in this market is the chance of it resolving. It resolves on January 1st.

The 2025 Dutch general election is scheduled to take place on October 29, 2025.

This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2025 Dutch general election.

If the next Dutch Government after the election is...

Nate Silver, founder of FiveThirtyEight.

This is one of a series of markets regarding whether select individuals or organizations will become Manifold users and create at least one market by the end of 2027 (~5 years). The time period is...

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Texas Tech Red Raiders make the 2025-26 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will the announcement of the finalized CFP bracket...

Resolves to yes if the US defeats China in a war before 2028.

Resolves YES if there is an online encyclopedia other than Wikipedia on January 1, 2027 satisfying the following conditions:

• At least 5 billion words of original English, spanning roughly as wide a variety of topics as Wikipedia itself.

• The...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sundar Pichai is no longer serving as CEO of Google for any length of time from the date of this market's inception, December 29, 2024 through December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to...

Inspired by https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g6rFff2MAxM

[link preview]

On any platform. Audio or video conversation. Must be publicly streamed or posted. Group calls count as long as a conversation takes place.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If...

The 2025 Chilean general election is scheduled for 16 November 2025. The President of Chile is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two...

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2025, 12:00 PM...

I will attempt to check https://poweroutage.us/ at least once per day (or much more often) and this will resolve to Yes if any state has 1,000,000+ customers without power. I will be the sole person checking for resolution so it is possible that an...

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will...

This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win Map 1 against paiN in this match, scheduled for November 12 at 2:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to "paiN" if paiN win Map 1 against FURIA in this match.

If the match is concluded before Map 1 is...

On October 8, 2025, Donald Trump called for Governor J.B. Pritzker to be arrested. You can read more about that here: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/ar-AA1O5i3t

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pritzker is arrested or detained by law...

In the upcoming game, scheduled for December 6, 2025 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed..

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Crisper, rna, or something new. Can science do it?