This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or...
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of January 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the...
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public.
This market will resolve to "No release by January 31" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next head coach of the Miami Dolphins.
Interim coaches will not qualify. If no new coach is named by April 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The...
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2026, the Supreme Court of the United States issues a ruling that explicitly prohibits the use of nationwide injunctions by lower federal courts. The ruling must clearly limit...
@GraceThorpakaJoan
This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see top right after you've made a bet) when you believe your side has over-corrected and buy in/short it again...
Today, May 28, 2024, Ireland, Norway, and Spain officially recognized the State of Palestine.
Will Germany do the same within two years?
Resolution Criteria
1. Definition: Official recognition involves the German government's formal declaration...
Started in march 2024. Resolves NO if Hasan has higher subscriber count at the end of November 2026
Link: https://socialblade.com/youtube/c/hasan_abi/futureprojections
Link: https://socialblade.com/youtube/user/destiny/futureprojections
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Google (GOOGL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NBA Finals based off the rules...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and January 31, any data point on the WatchCharts Rolex Submariner Market Index (https://watchcharts.com/watches/brand_index/rolex/submariner) shows a price equal to or above...
This market resolves to YES if, by 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2025, a humanoid robot is publicly demonstrated to have the following characteristics, matching or exceeding the capabilities typically associated with the fictional Star Wars character...
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Uganda on January 15, 2026. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the vote outright, a second round of elections will be scheduled.
This market will resolve to the candidate that wins this...
This market refers to the tennis match between Xinyu Wang and Francesca Jones in the ASB Classic, scheduled for January 8 2026. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise,...
Will NASA's big rocket, the Space Launch System, be either officially or unofficially cancelled before Jan 1, 2026?
Here cancelling means that there will no longer be an active and funded plan to launch it again. It is currently scheduled to be...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wyoming, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or...
Resolution will be based on the ICE annual report for 2025. Resolves Yes if the deportation of illegal immigrants in fiscal year 2025 goes up by 50% compare to the 2023 numbers. (i.e. Resolves Yes if 2025 deportation count is higher than...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Silver (SI) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of January 2026. Otherwise, the...
resolve is Friday Jan 1 2027 at market close
not including after market, adjusted for splits, not adjusted for dividends
https://ark-invest.com/articles/analyst-research/arks-tesla-model/?hss_channel=tw-2398137084
Price target unchanged as of Jan...
In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for January 10 at 3:00 PM ET:
If the Kansas State Wildcats win, the market will resolve to "Kansas State Wildcats".
If the Arizona State Sun Devils win, the market will resolve to "Arizona State Sun Devils".
If...
Can't find what you were looking for? Show more, or suggest a question on Metaculus