This is a polymarket to predict which player is drafted #1 overall in the 2026 NFL Draft.

If the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NFL...

Context:

[tweet]This market will resolve YES if the Jubilee YouTube channel uploads a Surrounded episode featuring Aella by May 1 2026, NO otherwise.

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final trading day of 2025.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the final...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The...

We all carry small computers with us everywhere; they can currently handle text-to-speech and speech-to-text; reading is currently one of the biggest time-eaters in elementary schools; and there is very little that one might reasonabally need reading...

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Vezina Trophy.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Vezina Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for...

This market will resolve according to the maximum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between November 20, 2025 and April 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.

This market will remain open until data has been published for...

This question resolves YES if the US House of Representatives votes to pass articles of impeachment against Donald Trump between his inauguration on 20 Jan 2025 and the end of his term of office on January 20, 2029.

This question resolves NO if...

Based on this tweet from Spencer Schiff:

https://x.com/spencerkschiff/status/1910106368205336769?s=46&t=62uT9IruD1-YP-SHFkVEPg

and the market by @bens:

@/bens/will-a-mainstream-ai-model-pass-the

(Note: the main difference with that market is...

The longest lived laboratory mouse ever was a growth hormone receptor knockout mouse which lived to approximately 1,800 days old in the lab of Andrzej Bartke at Southern Illinois University. The maximum for normal B6 mice under ideal conditions is...

From this article regarding an interview with Dario Amodei: https://futurism.com/the-byte/anthropic-ceo-ai-replicate-survive

When Klein asked how long it would take to get to these various threat levels, Amodei — who said he's wont to thinking "in...

Elon says that Tesla will soon have a chat GPT moment in self-driving cars

"Yes, so I think Tesla is going to play an important role in AI and AGI. And I think I need to oversee that to make sure it's good. So because that's a thorny problem if...

Resolves YES if there is a reliable and widely used medical intervention that reverses hair graying associated with aging. The intervention must cause existing hair follicles growing gray hair to instead grow repigmented hair closely matching the...

For purposes of this market, "Bashar al-Assad" is only Bashar al-Assad (born 11 September 1965), who is the president of Syria (at the time of market creation on 8 December 2024).

This market will resolve NO after at least 24 hours following the...

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".

Market capitalization...

Robin Hanson and Alex Tabarrok disagree on whether there will be AI generated religions. Tabarrok thinks there will, Hanson thinks there won't: https://twitter.com/robinhanson/status/1717539723781230772

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Manel Kape and Brandon Royval at UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape, scheduled for December 13, 2025, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise,...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will...

Stock in the mathematical constant tau, equal to a Euclidean circle's circumference divided by its radius, the number of radians in a full turn, and the period of sine, cosine, and e^(iθ).

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of...

I will have a presentation in my class of 18 people, if at least 2 people from that class make an account, this market resolves Yes.