Recently, I posted a reply to @ZviMowshowitz stating that it is likely that, for a number of reasons, the "DeepSeek R1 crash" in the stock market is in some way related to a scam. Rather than summarize, I'll just re-post the link: https://x..

It does not have to be successful to resolve to yes.

Any use of military force where the intent is subject will resolve to yes.

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).

This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the...

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted.

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this...

The Australian Capital Territory is governed by a Legislative Assembly with elections held every four years. Elections involve five multi-member electorates, each of which elects five representatives, called MLAs (Member of the Legislative Assembly)....

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Thailand on February 8, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially selected and appointed to be Prime Minister of Thailand following the 2026 general legislative election..

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on February 27, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point...

The advancement of space-based technologies has been postulated as a game-changing factor in multiple sectors, including agriculture. From GPS-guided tractors to the use of satellite imagery for crop monitoring, space tech has the potential to...

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59...

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET..

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will...

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the...

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be...

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”..

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament.

If it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is...

This market refers to the Honor of Kings match between Hero JiuJing and Team WE in the King Pro League Stage 2 Group A, scheduled for February 26 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Hero JiuJing" if Hero JiuJing win the match against Team WE..

In the upcoming Swiss National League game, scheduled for 2026-02-28: If Lugano win, the market will resolve to "Lugano". If Lausanne win, the market will resolve to "Lausanne". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game...

[image]Consider the proposed scenario in the attached image.

Assume that portals can have both velocity and acceleration without breaking (whatever physics of portals that might imply).

The top surface (with orange portal attached) moves towards...

Resolves YES if Nvidia begins selling its top GPUs to China as they were before the 2022 export controls, resolves NO otherwise.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the...

1 minute sustained winds, specifically. Current record is Hurricane Patricia in 2015, 215 mph.