Resovles yes is Cardano becomes a top 3 cryptocurrency at any point before the end of 2025.

Based on marketcap as listed on CoinGecko or CoinMarketCap.

Inspired by this tweet:

[tweet]

There are no restrictions on the amount or kind of compute used to train the model. Question is about whether it will actually be done, not whether it will be possible in theory. If I judge the model to really be many specific models stuck together...

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 14 at 7:00 PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Collin Murray-Boyles scores more than 10.5 points during the game.

This market will resolve to "No" if Collin Murray-Boyles scores 10.5 points or...

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on January 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from...

Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Vietnam has acquired at least one nuclear weapon before January 1st 2031. This device must be under the sovereign control of the Vietnamese State, and they must have the ability to use it independently..

This is a polymarket to predict which player will finish as the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Serie A season.

If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Serie A season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it...

Inspired by this: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/07/us/politics/spacex-wildlife-texas.html

This market resolves to YES if clear and convincing evidence is provided to me that resolves the following hypothesis in the affirmative, before January 1,...

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Baden-Württemberg are scheduled to take place in Baden-Württemberg on March 8, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team advances to the Round of 16 of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the Round of...

Background Luigi Mangione is currently facing multiple charges, including first-degree murder in furtherance of terrorism and second-degree murder, for the shooting of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson. On December 23, 2024, Mangione entered a not...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gametogenesis#In_vitro_gametogenesis

Subsidized with Ṁ500. I won't trade in this market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Loopscale (http://x.com/Loopscale) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The token must be actively and publicly...

This market will resolve according to the winner of the listed division for the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference Finals.

If it becomes impossible for this team to win based on the rules of the NBA this market will resolve to “No”.

If multiple...

If a prompt gets posted in the comments that when used as an input in Create a question -> AI-assisted question it gets an ASCII horse output with some reliability (it draws an ASCII horse 3 out of 5 times), this market resolves YES.

I will only...

In the upcoming match between Vancouver Surge and Miami Heretics in the Call of Duty League Stage 1 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers, scheduled for January 16 at 3:00pm ET:

This market will resolve to "Over" if Vancouver Surge and Miami Heretics play 4...

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total amount wagered on U.S. sports betting in 2026 is greater than the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source will be Legal Sports Report (https://www..

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined...

https://socialblade.com/youtube/user/destiny

Associated grant: Results for Development — Childhood Pneumonia Treatment Scale-Up

See this tweet for the context. (In order for this market to resolve YES, the offer must have followed the terms in that tweet.)

(https://manifold.markets/embed/IsaacKing/will-anyone-offer-to-pay-eliezer-yu)Resolves N/A if the above market resolves...

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Chainlink (LINK/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 17:35 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price...