This market resolves YES if a current Republican member of the US congress is identified as a white nationalist before 2030. This market resolves NO if that does not happen.

Identifying someone as a white nationalist would involve them attending...

In September 2020, Governor Newsom announced in an executive order that by 2035 all new passenger cars and trucks (which do not include medium or heavy duty vehicles) sold in California will need to be zero-emission vehicles.

Governor Brown, who in...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) on the final trading day of November 2025 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the final trading day of the...

In the upcoming game, scheduled for November 18, 2025, If Côte d'Ivoire wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If...

According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), keeping warming to no more than 1.5°C requires global carbon emissions to peak in 2025 and be reduced by 43% by 2030. (Source: the IPCC's Summary for Policymakers pdf)

According to...

The field of quantum computing has experienced unparalleled development in recent years, and has spurned popular interest along with it. Quantum computing offers a unique platform to model complex simulations which classical computers are incapable...

In the upcoming game, scheduled for November 26, 2025 If Queens Park Rangers FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been...

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix, scheduled for Nov 20, 2025.

If the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Nov 27, 2025, this market...

this question will resolve YES, if credible Western media will show evidence for Qaani to be an Israeli spy, or if an Iranian official source publishes that he was spying for Israel.

This question will resolve NO, if wy the end of 2025, there is no...

The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 7, 2025, and the ceremony for February 1, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed person that...

Resolves yes if at any point before before 2026, Google is selling something similar to the previously cancelled Google glasses. A regular VR/AR headset doesn't count.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between April 9 and December 31, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the...

One of the questions surrounding LK-99 replications is whether they merely demonstrate an unusual degree of diamagnetism. Even if not superconducting, this might represent an interesting advance in material science.

The current strongest known...

The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate wins the 2026 election to the U.S. House of Representatives from Michigan's Seventh Congressional District. A candidate shall be considered to represent a...

In the upcoming game, scheduled for November 28, 2025 If Vitória SC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the...

Resolves Yes if Neuralink has allowed a blind person to see again AND a paralyzed person to walk again before 2030.

Doesn’t have to be the same person. Walking can be achieved via mechanical legs. Sight can be simulated.

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Adams is removed as the Mayor of New York City though any formal process, including by the Governor of New York, the New York City Council, through a criminal conviction, or any other non voluntary process...

All these predictions are taken from Forbes/Rob Toews' "10 AI Predictions For 2025".

For the 2024 predictions you can find them here, and their resolution here.

You can find all the markets under the tag [2025 Forbes AI predictions].

Note that I...

Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being. Unlike narrow or weak AI, which is...

This market resolves YES if a humanoid robot physically makes contact with the lunar surface before the next human does, and NO otherwise. Resolution will be based on official announcements from space agencies (NASA, CNSA, etc.) and verified mission...