This market resolves YES if Hans Moke Niemann is a top 10 chess player according to FIDE rankings at any point before 2030-01-01 0001UTC. The ratings used will be the standard top 100 open list as worked out with FIDE's database. There is a webpage...

Bananas are a well-liked import fruit all over the world, and the Cavendish cultivar has been crushing that market for sixty years. But its rise is literally founded upon the compost heap of the Gros Michel, another cultivar. The so-called “Big Mike”...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that...

Nicușor Dan, the current Mayor of Bucharest, was elected President of Romania on May 18, 2025, triggering a mayoral by-election expected within 90 days of his departure.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most...

In the upcoming game, scheduled for November 18, 2025, If Mali wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game...

SpaceX has announced plans to launch five uncrewed Starships to Mars during the 2026 Earth-Mars transfer window. This window represents the optimal time for launches between Earth and Mars when the planets are properly aligned, requiring less fuel...

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held...

This market will resolve according to the actor ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search list for 2025, published on Google’s Year in Search hub.

The authoritative location is trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ (navigate: Global →...

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs are relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club is officially relegated by La Liga following the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to...

Will resolve based on the percentage of people who score a 5 on AP Calc BC in 2025, as publicized by College Board.

Will replies to ten well-engineered GPT-5 prompts in my area of expertise outperform my own answers to them?

Example of what I mean by a well-engineered prompt: "The following is an excerpt from the 'Guyton & Hall' authoritative textbook on human...

Market for Friend of the Stream (not orbiter) Anastasiya Paraskevova.

Yes = Buy No = Short This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see top right after you've made a bet)...

U.S. Speaker of the House Mike Johnson stated that he plans to hold a vote next week on a measure mandating the release of Department of Justice files related to the sex trafficker Jeffrey Epstein. You can read more about that here: https://www..

This is a polymarket on whether the listed team will win the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to...

In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for November 17 at 6:30 PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Over" if the Florida A&M Rattlers and Georgia Bulldogs combine to score 173 or more points in this game.

If the combined total is less than 173, this...

"successful global socialist revolution by 2042" means:

workers took control over the means of production in key areas (big factories, real-estate, banks, communication, transport & logistics, ...)

more than half of the world (measured in...

Resolution criteria:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next presidential election in El Salvador is deemed both free and fair by a majority of reputable international election monitoring organizations, such as the Organization of American...

The market will resolve as YES if all of the following conditions are met by close:

There exists an organized entity that acts as a sovereign state, though it has no physical territory or land borders except for any embassy premises.

This entity...

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the Serie A standings for the 2025-26 season.

If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the Serie A standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes"....

Resolves as YES if the US Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that annual inflation was over 5% from the start of 2023 to the end of 2025.

Inflation calculations will be based on BLS figures. If the methods for calculating CPI are altered or the...