Resolves YES if such treaty is signed and (if needed) ratified before 2031 by both countries and no armed conflict happens before or for two years after that.

@/strutheo/will-luffy-find-the-one-piece-in-20-90994adca5dc

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

​A...

The Square Kilometre Array (SKA) is a proposed radio-telescope more than a 50 times more sensitive than the current record holder.

With receiving stations extending out to a distance of at least 3,000 kilometres (1,900 mi) from a concentrated...

Resolves Yes if the majority of the allocated funds are repealed

Related: @/ahalekelly/will-the-chips-act-be-repealed-in-2

The Waves Arisen is a Naruto fanfic with rationalist themes: https://wertifloke.wordpress.com/2015/01/25/chapter-1/

There is sometimes speculation about whether the author Wertifloke is a pseudonym of noted rationalist fanfic author Eliezer...

A responsible scaling policy (RSP) or risk-informed development policy (RDP) is a framework adopted by companies like Anthropic and OpenAI that aims to ensure that they do not release catastrophically unsafe AIs. Such a framework defines levels of...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Netflix officially releases a new episode of Stranger Things (i.e., an episode that was not previously available to stream on Netflix) between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this...

In the upcoming game, scheduled for February 4, 2026 If VfB Stuttgart wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If...

Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an...

Background: The 14th Amendment to the United States Constitution has historically been interpreted to grant citizenship to anyone born on U.S. soil, regardless of their parents' citizenship status (with exceptions for children of foreign diplomats)....

This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will win the 2025–26 Bundesliga.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 Bundesliga. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hyperbeats's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable...

Must be natural not caused by another person for the purpose of resolving this market

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (mayor or magistrate) elections for Taiwan’s major special...

Resolves based on Freedom House ratings: https://freedomhouse.org/country/united-states

In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Augsburg, scheduled for February 7 at 9:30 AM ET:

This market will resolve to "Over" if 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Augsburg combine to score 2 or more goals in this game.

If the combined...

This polymarket will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is named the 2025–26 NFL regular season MVP. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 NFL MVP is not announced by May 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary...

This is a polymarket to predict which player is drafted #1 overall in the 2026 NFL Draft.

If the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NFL...

Related Markets:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/MattP/will-a-federal-protection-for-gay-m)(https://manifold.markets/embed/vluzko/will-obergefell-v-hodges-be-complet)(https://manifold.markets/embed/DarwinWu/will-the-supreme-court-overturn-any)

This market will resolve according to the male name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/.

The authoritative...