This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of January 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the...
Given energy hungry AI and regulations over nuclear power, will a tech giant (market cap >= $100B) succeed in building a private nuclear power plant (100+ MW) for its own consumption or a commercial power plant to provide energy just for AI needs...
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces a new artificial intelligence (AI) feature during its Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC) 2025, scheduled from June 9 to June 13, 2025. The announcement must occur during...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration (including any federal court) publicly releases previously unreleased files pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein which contain any mention of the listed individual...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Rhode island.
If no 2026 Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on...
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates...
A country, region, province, nation, etc whose political system for voting limits rights such that you need to have (or have had) children to vote.
If country, any size. If other type of division, if at least 100k people, it counts.
If it is a...
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol as part of his ongoing insurrection trial by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Only the sentence rendered in Yoon Suk Yeol’s...
In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for January 7 at 6:00 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Army Black Knights" if the Army Black Knights win the game by 5 or more points.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Loyola Maryland Greyhounds".
The...
Resolution according to the "Usage share of all browsers" table in this Wikipedia entry:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Usage_share_of_web_browsers
Resolves Yes if any US state attempts to secede from the union by Nov 5th 2025.
Resolves No if not.
I've thought of myself as autistic for a long time but never pursued a formal diagnosis. I anticipate making contact with a doctor capable of making such a diagnosis in the relatively near future, so I don't think the end date of the market should be...
By "broadly available", I roughly mean that at least 1 in 10 Americans could order something by drone if they wanted to. The cost of the delivery doesn't matter for the purposes of the question.
This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will win the 2025–26 English Premier League.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 English Premier League. Otherwise, it will resolve to...
In May 2024, Reuters reported that the US Justice Department was investigating Tesla for securities and wire fraud (US News & World Report). Whether criminal charges are brought by the Justice Department or other federal agency is immaterial. Any...
Donald Trump is expected to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address in late January or early February.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market...
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Based's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and...
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