@/strutheo/will-there-be-a-51st-state-by-the-e

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta launches a stablecoin pegged to the US Dollar by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The stablecoin must be actively transferrable and/or tradable, announcements...

Resolves as YES if at least 10 thousand humanoid robots have been manufactured before January 1st 2029.

Different number of robots:

@/RemNi/will-2k-humanoid-robots-be-manufact

@/RemNi/will-5k-humanoid-robots-be-manufact...

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 3 of the main tournament at the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National with the lowest cumulative score to par.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the...

Will a credible population counter run in reverse to the point that the population at the end of the week is lower than the start (7 day rolling, not Sunday to Sunday), and this is not due to a technical glitch or recalculation of previously false...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that...

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between April 6, 2026 and April 12, 2026 (inclusive).

The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for...

[image]I saw the interaction above predicting the ChatGPT will change significantly with the release of GPT-5, and it made me think.

Resolution Criteria

Significant Changes: Implementing features or redesigns fundamentally transforming how users...

Resolves NO on January 1st, 2124.

Inspired by https://manifold.markets/PlasmaBallin/what-is-the-riskfree-interest-rate-1a0194810975 and https://manifold.markets/Lorxus/what-is-the-riskfree-interest-rate-2fe30d91de52

Resolves Yes if at least two of these things happen related to a deepfake video of a head of state:

Extensive media coverage

A significant impact on diplomatic relations (public statement from foreign state)

Public protests

Official government...

In the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for April 11 at 12:30 PM ET:

This market will resolve to "FC Barcelona" if FC Barcelona win the game by 3 or more goals.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "RCD Espanyol de Barcelona".

If the game is...

This is a polymarket to predict which player will finish as the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season.

If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it...

In the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game between Hamarkameratene and KFUM-Kameratene Oslo, scheduled for April 19 at 11:00 AM ET:

This market will resolve to "Over" if Hamarkameratene and KFUM-Kameratene Oslo combine to score 5 or more goals in this...

Resolution Criteria:

The market resolves “Yes” if Bitcoin (BTC) reaches or exceeds $120,000 USD at any point before March 31, 2025, at 23:59 PT, based on data from Coinbase. The price must be reflected as the high/low price in any 1-minute...

Eesolve to'YES' when a majority of people in the comments believe that World War 3 has begun. I will use my judgment to make this determination.

Keir Starmer is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament..

In the upcoming Premier League game between Burnley FC and Brighton & Hove Albion FC, scheduled for April 11 at 10:00 AM ET:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Burnley FC and Brighton & Hove Albion FC each score at least one goal during the...

This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that the President publicly pardons or commutes the sentence of Nicolás Maduro by the End Date listed below. PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole...

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for April 7 at 6:40 PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Over" if the Chicago Cubs and Tampa Bay Rays combine to score 9 or more runs in this game.

If the combined total...

"Adult" here will mean anyone over 21, not 18, since we already have laws preventing <21-year-olds from doing certain things to their body, like smoking or drinking.

The ban must be for existing types of gender-affirming care, not something new and...

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 7 at 7:00 PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Over" if the Panthers and Canadiens combine to score 5 or more goals in this game.

If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under"..