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Exact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 2 Chelsea FC?
40%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2026-03-01

In the upcoming Premier League game between Arsenal FC and Chelsea FC, scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC match originally scheduled for March 1, 2026 at...

Last updated: 2026-03-01
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $53
Will Nouvelle Vague win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?
< 1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2026-03-01

The 32nd Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2025, will be presented on March 1, 2026, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. Nominations are...

Last updated: 2026-03-01
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $937
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
40%
About Even
Last updated: 2026-03-01

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly...

Last updated: 2026-03-01
★★★★☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $34k
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
54%
About Even
Last updated: 2026-03-01

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing...

Last updated: 2026-03-01
★★★★☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $4.1k
Will there be another record setting deadliest natural disaster in the United States before the end of 2040?
75%
Likely
Last updated: 2025-05-23

The current deadliest natural disaster for the USA was the 1900 Galveston hurricane which killed 6000-8000 people

Link: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1900_Galveston_hurricane

Last updated: 2025-05-23
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 15
Volume: M1.2k
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 0 Borussia Mönchengladbach?
47%
About Even
Last updated: 2026-03-01

In the upcoming Bundesliga game between FC Bayern München and Borussia Mönchengladbach, scheduled for March 6, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach match...

Last updated: 2026-03-01
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $45
Will women be required to register for US Selective Service before 2026?
1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2024-10-07

The US Supreme Court in June of 2021 declined to hear a legal case challenging the male-only draft on the grounds that it was unconstitutional sex discrimination. In the opinion denying certification (written by Justice Sotomayor and joined by...

Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 67
Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
38%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2026-03-01

If the listed individual visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the individual...

Last updated: 2026-03-01
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $409
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas State Wildcats: O/U 158.5
> 99%
Under
< 1%
Over
Last updated: 2026-03-01

In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 28 at 6:30 PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Over" if the TCU Horned Frogs and Kansas State Wildcats combine to score 159 or more points in this game.

If the combined total is less than 159, this...

Last updated: 2026-03-01
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $223k
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in February?
< 1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2026-03-01

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between Februrary 1 and Februrary 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and...

Last updated: 2026-03-01
★★★☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $5.3k
CA Independiente vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 2.5
> 99%
Under
< 1%
Over
Last updated: 2026-03-01

In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA Independiente and CA Central Córdoba, scheduled for February 28 at 6:00 PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Over" if CA Independiente and CA Central Córdoba combine to score 3 or more goals...

Last updated: 2026-03-01
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $261k
Will an Elon Musk company ban Apple devices before 2026?
3%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2025-05-13

Elon Musk tweeted that "If Apple integrates OpenAI at the OS level, then Apple devices will be banned at my companies. That is an unacceptable security violation." Will he follow through on this threat?

https://x..

Last updated: 2025-05-13
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 62
Volume: M13k
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders
62%
Texas Tech Red Raiders
38%
TCU Horned Frogs
Last updated: 2026-03-01

In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for March 3 at 7:00 PM ET:

If the TCU Horned Frogs win, the market will resolve to "TCU Horned Frogs".

If the Texas Tech Red Raiders win, the market will resolve to "Texas Tech Red Raiders".

If the game is...

Last updated: 2026-03-01
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $530
Will Tony Gonzales leave the House before May?
94%
Very likely
Last updated: 2026-03-01

This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that Tony Gonzales resigns from, is removed from, or otherwise vacates, the House of Representatives by the End Date listed below. A circumstance in which Mr. Gonzales is temporarily suspended or is...

Last updated: 2026-03-01
★★★☆☆
PredictIt
Shares vol.: 31
Will Apple launch an iPhone with user-replaceable battery by the end of 2025?
17%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-06-06

If apple announces it but it is not available for purchase to the general public by close, that won't count.

Last updated: 2025-06-06
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 43
Volume: M3.1k
Assuming the bacteriophage FRO is funded by 2025, will the milestone of screening enterobacteria phage genes for interactions and publishing promising new interactions be achieved before 2031?
80%
Likely
Last updated: 2024-10-07

We recommend forecasters start with this document, Forecasting Information for a “Focused Research Organization” to Systematically Study Bacteriophage Genes and Their Functions.


From the Federation of American Scientists:

Systematically...

Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 21
Exact Score: Levante UD 1 - 2 Girona FC?
45%
About Even
Last updated: 2026-03-01

In the upcoming La Liga game between Levante UD and Girona FC, scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 10:15 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Levante UD vs. Girona FC match originally scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 10:15 AM ET,...

Last updated: 2026-03-01
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $44
Will Derrick White lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?
< 1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2026-03-01

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes the 2025–26 NBA regular season with the highest three pointers made per-game average of any qualified player.

In the event of a tie for the highest three pointers made per-game average,...

Last updated: 2026-03-01
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $1.2k
Will Trump say "Charlie Kirk" in March?
47%
About Even
Last updated: 2026-03-01

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count...

Last updated: 2026-03-01
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $458
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2031?
4%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2025-05-08

If humanity is still around on Jan 1, 2031, then this market resolves to NO. Otherwise resolves to YES. Related market:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/TeddyWeverka/will-max-tegmark-have-a-cameo-role)

Last updated: 2025-05-08
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 42
Volume: M9.2k
Will Podemos Perú (PP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?
28%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2026-03-01

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.

If the results are not known definitively...

Last updated: 2026-03-01
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $724

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