If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as...

If Trump wins the US 2024 election, will immigration at the south west border drop?

I will use numbers for border encounters at the Southwest border from the CBP which you can see here: https://www.cbp..

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MegaETH's token is greater than $3,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable...

Background:

Global carbon emissions, primarily driven by fossil fuel combustion, industrial activities, and deforestation, are a major contributor to climate change. International efforts, including those under the Paris Agreement, aim to reduce...

"Decision making under deep uncertainty" (DMDU) is a set of methods and tools to help people do a better job of planning when they face a highly unpredictable future. Instead of relying on precise predictions, DMDU employs robust, adaptive...

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question....

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team makes the 2025-26 NBA Playoffs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Note: reaching the Play-In Tournament will not qualify as making the Playoffs. To make the NBA Playoffs, a team must...

Tracking predictions from the podcast Oh No, Ross and Carrie! episode 399. Transcript available at https://maximumfun..

Background: https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/trump-gender-passports-canada-1.7440414?cmp=rss

Examples that would resolve NO:

Repeated/widespread incidents of gender-neutral passport holders being detained or denied entry -- even if this only occurs...

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between June 1, 2025, and June 30, 2025, inclusive, the United States conducts one or more airstrikes, missile strikes, or drone strikes targeting locations within Iran. The market will...

The 32nd Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2025, will be presented on March 1, 2026, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. Nominations are...

In a literal sense

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC....

This market will resolve to "Yes" if previously unreleased documents containing evidence that Jeffrey Epstein blackmailed any individual are made public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Blackmail is...

Resolves YES when there's a publicly available toothbrush that has a Large Language Model either locally available or capable of making calls to. Presumably audio input is the default, but I will allow for other cases such as brain signals somehow...

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this...

Resolves upon the completion of Super Bowl LX (60) or when the team is eliminated from Super Bowl contention, whichever comes first.

Elon Musk has described himself as a 'cultural Christian' and expressed appreciation for Christian principles. This market resolves YES if Musk makes an explicit, unambiguous statement identifying as a Christian (not just 'cultural Christian') on any...