Resolves YES if sensitive government data is breached via DOGE. Resolves NO otherwise. This can resolve to a percentage if there is a data breach but it's not clear whether it was caused by DOGE.
I will use my judgment to resolve this market and...
Prime Minister Modi of India is a member of the BJP. The BJP won a majority of 282 seats in India's Lok Sabha in 2014 and increase that majority to 303 seats in 2019, outperforming expectations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Shai Gilgeous-Alexander wins the 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year Award. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is not announced as a finalist for the 2024-25 NBA...
The Freedom on the Net report is an annual report on internet freedom worldwide, produced by Freedom House. It tracks changes in internet regulation across 65 countries. As of the 2020 edition, it claimed that freedom had been on the decline...
This is a market on the CBCNews Polling Average margin between the Conservative Party and the Liberal Party as of April 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, specifically the numbers indicated by the blue and red trend lines located on the line graph at...
This market will resolve according to the team that finishes in 2nd place for the 2024-25 English Premier League.
If it is impossible for a team to finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 English Premier League based on the rules of the EPL (i.e. they...
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following events have occurred on or before January 20, 2029:
An executive order is issued that explicitly restructures or diminishes the constitutional...
Resolves subjectively unless someone suggests some statistic to measure this.
The Romanian Presidential Election runoff is scheduled to be held on December 8, between Călin Georgescu and Elena Lasconi.
This market will resolve to "Yes” if Elena Lasconi wins the 2024 Romanian Presidential Election runoff by between 0%...
This market refers to the CBB game between Florida and Auburn scheduled for April 5, 6:09 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Walter Clayton Jr. scores more than 20.5 points in his game against Auburn. Otherwise, this market will resolve to...
Strong AGI as defined by the official Manifold market: @/ManifoldAI/agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708
If he steps down as CEO but remains on the board or another role, this question will remain open.
open until the next state is added
if we lose a state and regain the same state, this stays open
if an existing state breaks off and forms a new state this will resolve YES
if an existing state takes more land from another country just expands...
[still resolves to YES if originally sentenced to death then commuted]
This market refers to the CBB game between Florida and Auburn scheduled for April 5, 6:09 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Florida wins against Auburn by 2.5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this game is...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between March 28, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and April 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will...
It has been reported that the Tate brothers are en route to Florida from Romania after their travel restrictions were lifted.
About a week ago, reports said that someone within the Trump administration was pushing Romania for their release.
This...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between February 9, and April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual...
The U.S. Treasury Department has authority over currency design changes, which typically involve extensive planning and approval processes. Historical changes to currency portraits have been rare and usually part of broader redesign initiatives...
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