"We" refers to humans, human-generated tools, AIs, etc.

Control the weather refers to being able to cause every climate condition which is within the normal range for some region, under some reasonable timeframe.

For example, a necessary, but not...

Wimbledon 2026 is scheduled for June 29 - July 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s...

This market will resolve according to how much "I Can Only Imagine 2" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers...

Technology has transformed many areas of the financial industry: high frequency trading firms have transformed the ways stocks and other securities are traded, neobrokers like Robinhood or Freetrade have changed the way retail investors participate...

In the upcoming game, scheduled for February 21, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed..

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

​A...

NANOGrav recently made headlines by observing the stochastic gravitational waves background produced by the combination of many supermassive black hole binaries. Will a Pulsar Timing Array successfully pinpoint and resolve a specific supermassive...

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between February 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and February 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward...

In the upcoming game, scheduled for February 22, 2026, If Colorado Rapids SC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been...

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Paddy Pimblett is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Paddy Pimblett is officially announced to fight,...

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for February 19 at 7:30 PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tobias Harris scores more than 13.5 points during the game.

This market will resolve to "No" if Tobias Harris scores 13.5 points or fewer during...

꧁∙·▫ₒₒ▫ᵒᴼᵒ▫ₒₒ▫꧁ MarkMyWords Series ꧂▫ₒₒ▫ᵒᴼᵒ▫ₒₒ▫·∙꧂

The Mark My Words series takes actionable and popular posts from the Mark My Words subreddit and turns them into a prediction market. Hope you enjoy the format!

https://www.reddit..

Resolution criteria:

This market will resolve to "YES" if I have spent more than $100 USD on Manifold Markets by December 31, 2025. It will resolve to "NO" if the total amount spent is $100 or less by the end of 2025.

This includes:

Purchases of...

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC....

Resolves as YES if we have built a fusion reactor that has run continuously for at least 24 hours prior to January 1st 2029 at engineering breakeven (Q_E >= 1).

Questions with the same...

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Backpack's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable...

This capability already exists via the API (see https://manifold.markets/AriZerner/will-manifold-add-a-way-for-creator). Similarly resolves YES if someone points out that there's already a way to do the same thing in the UI.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Middleweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this...

This market will resolve according to the total number of different sovereign UN member states' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between February 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Strikes on embassies...