Nigeria experienced nine attempted or successful coups between 1966 and 1993. The country exited military rule in 1999.

Recent (starting 2021) military coups or coup attempts in Western Africa and the Sahel region have occurred in Niger, Mali,...

From Wikipedia,

Sputnik 1 was the first artificial Earth satellite. It was launched into an elliptical low Earth orbit by the USSR on 4 October 1957 as part of the Soviet space program. It orbited for three weeks before its batteries died and then...

The United States withdrew from the 2015 Paris Agreement in November 2020, following an announcement in June 2017 that the United States would withdraw by President Trump and giving formal notice of its intention to leave the agreement in November...

On September 17, 2024, Elon Musk retweeted a tweet claiming that if Kamala Harris and Tim Walz win the US presidential election, "their first move" will be to ban X (formerly Twitter). Musk has previously endorsed Donald Trump.

According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), keeping warming to no more than 1.5°C requires global carbon emissions to peak in 2025 and be reduced by 43% by 2030. (Source: the IPCC's Summary for Policymakers pdf)

According to...

Recent controversy over state election laws has caused some Democrats to be concerned that Republicans intend to use their political power in state governments to distort future elections in their favor. One commentator recently suggested:

"If a...

Xi Jinping is currently nearing the end of his second term as CCP General Secretary and is expected to make a bid for a third term and win it with a 92% chance according to a current Metaculus question. There is considerable speculation that Xi will...

The S&P 500 is often used as a benchmark for the performance of large-cap companies in the United States. On October 19, 1987 (so-called Black Monday)), the S&P fell 20.47%, the largest movement in its history, which has yet to be surpassed....

Spanish Science Fiction has only a token presence internationally. In spite of pioneering works such as El Anacronopete, the first story involving a time machine, and prestigious authors like Miguel de Unamuno, Leopoldo Alas Clarin or Pedro Salinas...

The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate wins the popular vote in the 2024 general election for U.S. President in Wisconsin. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party if such individual is...

Consider figure 15 from this paper.

Some people (arguably the authors of this paper) predict that as we scale models past GPT-3's size (the 10^11 parameter learning curve, models with parameter count X trained on X elapsed tokens will score close to...

The COVID-19 pandemic has prompted innovation in face masks, including through a US BARDA mask innovation challenge.

According to BARDA's target product profile, the main performance measures for its challenge are:

• Thermal Burden & Moisture...

As Russia's war in Ukraine continues, concerns remain that Russia may foment unrest in Moldova by recognizing Gagauzia, an autonomous region in the country's south (US News & World Report, Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, Jamestown...

Every 4 years, the United States elects a president with its unique system of the Electoral College. A candidate must secure the majority of Electoral College votes, following the process outlined in the Twelfth Amendment to the US Constitution..

In January 2021, Supreme Leader of North Korea Kim Jong Un set several goals for the nation in his Five-Year Plan, including:

The basic tasks facing the building materials industry during the new five-year plan period is to attain the goal of...

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSMC; also called Taiwan Semiconductor) is the world's most valuable semiconductor company. NVIDIA, the main manufacturer of GPUs powering most top AI models such as OpenAI's GPT-4, spends billions...

In the 2020 US Presidential election, major news desks called the election for Joe Biden in the week following the November election. Despite this, a concerted effort was launched using various methods in an attempt to overturn this result, such that...

Related Question on Metaculus:

• Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom before 2025?

A referendum on Scottish independence from the United Kingdom took place on 18 September 2014. The referendum question, which voters answered with "Yes" or...

Weapons sales from one country to another are often a useful indicator of positive geopolitical ties between those two nations. The logic behind this is that nations won't export weapons to other countries which visibly seek to compete with them...