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Will Phil Parrish win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2026-01-09

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or...

Last updated: 2026-01-09
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $2.7k
Will Silver (SI) settle at <$70 in January?
32%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2026-01-09

This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of January 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the...

Last updated: 2026-01-09
★★★★☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $1.0k
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 19, 2026?
11%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2026-01-09

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public.

This market will resolve to "No release by January 31" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by...

Last updated: 2026-01-09
★★★☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $865
Will Vance Joseph be the next Miami Dolphins Head Coach?
43%
About Even
Last updated: 2026-01-09

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next head coach of the Miami Dolphins.

Interim coaches will not qualify. If no new coach is named by April 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The...

Last updated: 2026-01-09
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $81
National injunctions banned by the Supreme Court?
27%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-06-09

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2026, the Supreme Court of the United States issues a ruling that explicitly prohibits the use of nationwide injunctions by lower federal courts. The ruling must clearly limit...

Last updated: 2025-06-09
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 28
Volume: M2.2k
Grace Thorp aka Joan (Permanent Stock)
41%
About Even
Last updated: 2025-05-26

@GraceThorpakaJoan

This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see top right after you've made a bet) when you believe your side has over-corrected and buy in/short it again...

Last updated: 2025-05-26
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 143
Volume: M261k
Will Germany recognize the State of Palestine within 2 years of Ireland, Norway and Spain?
10%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2025-06-02

Today, May 28, 2024, Ireland, Norway, and Spain officially recognized the State of Palestine.

Will Germany do the same within two years?

Resolution Criteria

1.	Definition: Official recognition involves the German government's formal declaration...
Last updated: 2025-06-02
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 38
Volume: M7.6k
Will Destiny surpass Hasan's number of YouTube subscribers within 2 years 8 months as predicted by Socialblade?
10%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-03-23

Started in march 2024. Resolves NO if Hasan has higher subscriber count at the end of November 2026

Link: https://socialblade.com/youtube/c/hasan_abi/futureprojections

Link: https://socialblade.com/youtube/user/destiny/futureprojections

Last updated: 2025-03-23
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 8
Volume: M1.3k
Will Google (GOOGL) close at <$290 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 5 – Jan 9?
< 1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2026-01-09

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Google (GOOGL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the...

Last updated: 2026-01-09
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $10k
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
7%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2026-01-09

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NBA Finals based off the rules...

Last updated: 2026-01-09
★★★☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $136k
Will the Rolex Submariner hit $18,000 or higher in December?
56%
About Even
Last updated: 2026-01-09

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and January 31, any data point on the WatchCharts Rolex Submariner Market Index (https://watchcharts.com/watches/brand_index/rolex/submariner) shows a price equal to or above...

Last updated: 2026-01-09
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $83
Will We Have a C-3PO Level Humanoid Robot by EOY 2025?
13%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-05-02

This market resolves to YES if, by 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2025, a humanoid robot is publicly demonstrated to have the following characteristics, matching or exceeding the capabilities typically associated with the fictional Star Wars character...

Last updated: 2025-05-02
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 31
Volume: M4.9k
Will Robert Kyagulanyi Ssentamu win the 2026 Ugandan presidential election?
2%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2026-01-09

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Uganda on January 15, 2026. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the vote outright, a second round of elections will be scheduled.

This market will resolve to the candidate that wins this...

Last updated: 2026-01-09
★★★☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $7.2k
Which football (soccer) club will win the 2024-25 UEFA Women's Champions League final?
47%
Barcelona (Spain)
19%
Lyon (France)
15%
Chelsea (England)
6%
Arsenal (England)
4%
Manchester City (England)
Last updated: 2025-01-24
Last updated: 2025-01-24
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 70
Forecasters: 21
Wang vs. Jones: Match O/U 22.5
50%
Over
50%
Under
Last updated: 2026-01-09

This market refers to the tennis match between Xinyu Wang and Francesca Jones in the ASB Classic, scheduled for January 8 2026. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise,...

Last updated: 2026-01-09
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $109k
Will NASA's SLS be cancelled before 2026?
16%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-06-18

Will NASA's big rocket, the Space Launch System, be either officially or unofficially cancelled before Jan 1, 2026?

Here cancelling means that there will no longer be an active and funded plan to launch it again. It is currently scheduled to be...

Last updated: 2025-06-18
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 27
Volume: M6.9k
Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?
45%
About Even
Last updated: 2026-01-09

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wyoming, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or...

Last updated: 2026-01-09
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $72
Will deportation of illegal immigrants go up by 50% in 2025?
87%
Likely
Last updated: 2025-04-20

Resolution will be based on the ICE annual report for 2025. Resolves Yes if the deportation of illegal immigrants in fiscal year 2025 goes up by 50% compare to the 2023 numbers. (i.e. Resolves Yes if 2025 deportation count is higher than...

Last updated: 2025-04-20
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 17
Volume: M891
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?
38%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2026-01-09

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Silver (SI) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of January 2026. Otherwise, the...

Last updated: 2026-01-09
★★★★☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $3.8k
Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 1500 by the end of 2026? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
11%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-05-24

resolve is Friday Jan 1 2027 at market close

not including after market, adjusted for splits, not adjusted for dividends

https://ark-invest.com/articles/analyst-research/arks-tesla-model/?hss_channel=tw-2398137084

Price target unchanged as of Jan...

Last updated: 2025-05-24
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 40
Volume: M30k
Kansas State Wildcats vs. Arizona State Sun Devils
60%
Arizona State Sun Devils
41%
Kansas State Wildcats
Last updated: 2026-01-09

In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for January 10 at 3:00 PM ET:

If the Kansas State Wildcats win, the market will resolve to "Kansas State Wildcats".

If the Arizona State Sun Devils win, the market will resolve to "Arizona State Sun Devils".

If...

Last updated: 2026-01-09
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $307

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