This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". ...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs a bill into law or performs any executive action changing US tax law to establish a de minimis tax exemption on cryptocurrency transactions by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl LX. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the Super Bowl based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. they are...
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2025, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for November 2025 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for November 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market...
This market resolves YES if the AfD still recognizably exists in 2030. If it rebrands but otherwise retains similar enough structures, this resolves YES. If the party splits, but there remains a recognizable core AfD, this resolves YES.
If the party...
The release of GPT-4 in recent months have generated lots of enthusiasm for AI research, as well as fears of impending AI doom. But how sustainable is it really, and is it just simply another hype cycle that will soon fizzle out?
Will settle "Yes"...
Resolves NO if at any point before Jan 21st, 2029 independence of the Federal Reserve has been reduced. I'm open to refining resolution criteria until Trump's inauguration on Jan 21st 2025.
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1854783747264012792
Elon...
This market will resolve according to the actor ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search list for 2025, published on Google’s Year in Search hub.
The authoritative location is trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ (navigate: Global →...
The HLTV awards are scheduled to be held on January 10, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Player of the Year award.
If for any reason no winner is declared by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to...
This market is about the extinction risk of the Polar Bear species in the current century. This market will resolve YES if the Polar Bear is extinct in 2100. It will resolve NO if it is not extinct in 2100.
Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia..
An undeclared war is festering all along the hill country that separates Israel and Lebanon. It involves nearly as many troops as the war in the Gaza Strip. So far it's a largely static battle of missiles, artillery, bombing raids and stealthy...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if BTS (방탄소년단) releases any new music track credited to the group between June 3 and December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The track must be publicly released through major music...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team makes the 2025-26 NFL Playoffs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No".
If the listed team qualifies for the playoffs early, the market will resolve to "Yes". If the listed team is...
Will any serious candidate in the 2028 election (with over 4% support) publicly state their position, for or against, a government program to build an AGI supercluster, similar to The Project described by Leopold Aschenbrenner in June 2024...
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that OpenAI discovered the first valid proof of the Collatz Conjecture before January 1st 2026. Only proofs made public before 2026 are considered, and the public release date determines which proof is...
banned/suspended for at least 24 hours
Since partition, India and Pakistan have had a tense relationship and many conflicts. In 1999, India and Pakistan fought the Kargil war.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ventual's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The token must be actively, publicly transferable...
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