Greater than 5 sigma experimental evidence that shows Dark Matter to no longer be a Nobel Prize worthy discovery will resolve this NO.

Resolves NO if either of them dies.

Has to be on stream, or posted as a video/audio recording.

Will Noam vs Gnome take place?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from North Carolina.

If no 2026 North Carolina Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source...

This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will win the 2025–26 English Premier League.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 English Premier League. Otherwise, it will resolve to...

Currently, it's estimated that <5% of Russia's military is female, down from a high of around 10%. However, men between 18 and 27 already face general conscription. With an evident shortfall in military manpower (see: reliance on mercenaries,...

This market will resolve according to the country that wins the most gold medals at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics, scheduled for February 6-22, 2026.

In the case of ties, the ordered list for most gold medals won will use most overall...

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the...

Using the 100 km Karman line as the barrier. The current record is 19, set in 2021

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_spaceflight_records#Human_spaceflight_firsts

This would not count any flights by Virgin Galactic as they do not go up to 100km..

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of...

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 27 at 8:00 PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Over" if the Pacers and Heat combine to score 231 or more points in this game.

If the combined total is less than 231, this market will resolve to...

Associated grant: IDinsight — Embedded GiveWell Team (2018)

This market will resolve according to the winner of the League of Legends Pro League (LPL) 2026 season.

If the 2026 LPL season is postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this...

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

​​A...

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take...

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Google (GOOGL) on the final trading day of 2025.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the final...

Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being. Unlike narrow or weak AI, which is...

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.

If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this...

Will Joe Biden be impeached by the House of Representatives during his first term as President?

Testosterone must be legal federally, legal in at least one state, and available with a level of inconvenience not too far above present. (It's a controlled substance and requires a mental health professional to approve.)

YES if it requires lying to...

To date, frontier AI models have been created exclusively by tech companies. This may change if other companies decide that having an in-house model, trained on their proprietary data, will be sufficiently valuable to warrant training their own...

In the upcoming game, scheduled for December 29, 2025 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed..