This market will resolve to "Nunes" if Amanda Nunes is officially declared the winner of the fight against Kayla Harrison at UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett, scheduled for January 24, 2026.

It will resolve to "Harrison" if Kayla Harrison is officially...

This market predicts whether Manifold Markets will introduce a feature allowing users to choose multiplication factor and place leveraged bets (bets with borrowed funds or multiplied returns) by the end of 2025.

Leveraged betting would allow users...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will...

Elections for the autonomous community of Castilla y Leon’s unicameral legislature (Cortes) are scheduled for March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by Partido Popular (PP) in the Cortes of Castilla y Leon as...

Market will resolve yes if: multiple cities in Texas experience rolling or large scale blackouts due to widespread power generation or distribution failures due to grid strains as reported by major news organizations. Needs to be major national...

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Hyperliquid (HYPEUSDT) between November 24, 2025, 16:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price...

In the upcoming game, scheduled for January 23, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed..

In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for November 24 at 2:00 PM ET:

If the South Carolina State Bulldogs win, the market will resolve to "South Carolina State Bulldogs".

If the South Dakota Coyotes win, the market will resolve to "South Dakota...

This is a market on whether the NBER will declare that the US economy was in a recession during 2023. The deadline in March 31, 2024, as the NBER can sometimes declare recessions retrospectively. This market can also resolve early if a recession is...

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Light Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at...

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NBA Most Improved Player.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Most Improved Player, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution...

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on January 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from...

This is the median. The report about these estimates also plots the results for each question “with individual response distributions visible” in Appendix A.

On January 17, Donald Trump threatened to impose new tariffs on Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, The United Kingdom, The Netherlands, and Finland, which would begin on February 1 and would remain in effect until a deal is struck for the US...

General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Japanese House of Representatives (衆議院, Shūgiin) election..

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No"..

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the...

Starting after the 2016 US Presidential election, Facebook (now Meta) began publishing quarterly reports on adversarial threats on their platforms. For example, in Q1 2023, Meta claimed they took action against 6 "coordinated inauthentic behavior"...

In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between Aston Villa FC and FC Red Bull Salzburg, scheduled for January 29 at 3:00 PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Over" if Aston Villa FC and FC Red Bull Salzburg combine to score 3 or more goals in this...

This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Krakow 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for January 28 - February 8, 2026.

If this tournament is postponed after February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been...