They should post here, or someone who knows about it, if it's public, can post.

No tricks.

The relationship prior to Manifest must have been non-sexual, non-romantic, and online only, if anything. They must really both meet and spark it off...

This market predicts whether Ukraine will regain control of Crimea by October 22, 2025. Crimea was annexed by Russia in 2014, and its status remains a contentious issue. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has stated that Crimea can only be...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will...

Upon hearing that the newly announced steel tariffs have been implemented, I will buy a head of lettuce from a nearby grocery store. I will keep said head of lettuce on my counter indoors. (roughly 70 degrees F/21 degrees C) If the head of lettuce...

Must happen during the main official

Broadcast, not in a commercial.

Real or fake/joke slaps will count. Basically, some realistic depiction of a slap. It can be a photobomb or similar, too.

This is a polymarket on whether the listed team will win the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to...

Sean "Diddy" Combs is currently facing federal investigations into allegations of sex trafficking, prostitution, and racketeering conspiracy. While Donald Trump has previously pardoned hip-hop artists like Lil Wayne and Kodak Black during his...

The question poised asks whether the United States government will issue an official statement, or pass a legal formality to indicate the formal inclusion of Greenland as a territory (or state) of the United States by or before 31st December 2030..

From https://metaculus.com/questions/17185/deny-some-entities/

i.e. will there be a considerable difference between how Democrats and Republicans view AI Policy before 2030?

(see examples below for what is considered partisan vs non-partisan)

Partisan Issues Examples

Gun Control

Abortion

Immigration...

The ruling coalition of the Netherlands collapsed on June 3, 2025. New parliamentary elections are expected to be scheduled soon.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Netherlands House of...

Will replies to ten well-engineered GPT-5 prompts in my area of expertise outperform my own answers to them?

Example of what I mean by a well-engineered prompt: "The following is an excerpt from the 'Guyton & Hall' authoritative textbook on human...

The Rock Dove is a species of pigeon, originally native to Southern Europe, Northern Africa and Western Asia. The species includes the domestic pigeon and feral pigeons living in cities around the world. This market will resolve YES if the Rock Dove...

New START is a nuclear arms reduction treaty between the United States and the Russian Federation, which was signed on 8 April 2010. After its extension in 2021 it is expected to last until February 5, 2026.

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs are relegated from Serie A after the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club is officially relegated by Serie A following the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to...

The 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship will premiere on Peacock this fall (https://www.pokernews.com/news/2025/07/national-heads-up-poker-championship-return-49301.htm). This market predicts which player will win the 2025 National Heads-Up...

We all know that the Red Bull seat is under friction. But will the Aussie move into position or stay in the wind tunnel?

Anything in the executive branch of the federal government, including elected, senate-confirmed, or appointed positions. Advisor roles would count.

The paper https://arxiv.org/pdf/2410.00965 is under review by the Astrophysical Journal (ApJ). In it we apply causal discovery to astronomical data for the first time. We find that in elliptical galaxies it is the properties of the host galaxy that...

This is a declarative statement. You can bet NO or YES to disagree or agree.

SLS costs US$2billion per launch. There are, ahem, 'cheaper' options.

This question resolves YES if, at any time between now and February 1st, 2029, non-essential civilian border crossings from the US into Canada are suspended or severely restricted (similar to COVID restrictions in 2020) due to a pandemic disease.