The 2025 Central African Republic general election is scheduled to be held on December 28, 2025, to elect the 140 members of the National Assembly (CAR’s unicameral parliament).

This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most...

This market will resolve to "G2 Minnesota" if G2 Minnesota win against Carolina Royal Ravens in the named Call of Duty match in the Call of Duty League Stage 1 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers, scheduled for January 11 at 3:00PM ET.

This market will...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Results...

As classified by their polity score https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polity_data_series#Scores_for_2018

(https://manifold.markets/embed/DismalScientist/will-the-us-be-a-democracy-in-2050) Close date updated to 2041-01-01 6:59 pm

This market will resolve according to the winner of the League of Legends Pro League (LPL) 2026 season.

If the 2026 LPL season is postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this...

might be resolved based partially on vibes / second-hand information, might resolve early (if it happens)

Update 2025-01-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria:

YES will be resolved if:

3 reports of American homebrewers...

Robin Hanson, an economist and professor, writes the blog "Overcoming Bias," which focuses on topics like rationality, prediction markets, and futurism. As AI language models improve, they might generate blog posts resembling Robin Hanson's writing...

It was proposed and declined once before in 2019. There is already a poop emoji.

The proposal is declined, because one or more of the selection factors was not satisfactory. For example, the expected usage was not shown to be sufficiently high....

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on January 31, 2026, 12:00...

This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.

The resolution...

This market will resolve if any of the following are true:

• If this market reaches its close date

• If mUZ1rvVVmexIEuRBuRz7 closes (Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2025?).

It will resolve based on the following decision...

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on...

If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically...

This market is based on a poll posted on X by Tim Dodd the Everyday Astronaut.

SLS is NASA's Space Launch System rocket.

"Survive" presumably means that the program isn't cancelled.

[tweet]If the result is ambiguous, I may use Everyday Astronaut's...

This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.

The resolution...

This market refers to the tennis match between Jan-Lennard Struff and Emilio Nava in the ASB Classic, Qualification, scheduled for January 10 2026. This market will resolve to "Struff" if Jan-Lennard Struff wins by 2 or more sets than Emilio Nava,...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed NBA player is traded from their current team to another NBA team before the 2025-2026 NBA trade deadline. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The NBA trade deadline for the 2025-2026 season is...

This market refers on the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Brandon Nakashima in the Brisbane International, scheduled for January 11 at 3:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Brandon Nakashima..

If Biden Wins Presidency:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/StopPunting/will-joe-biden-survive-through-the)Will Trump Survive:

[markets]

In the upcoming game, scheduled for January 12, 2026 If Liverpool FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If...