They have executed 2 people so far: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Capital_punishment_in_Israel#Executed_people and only have capital punishment for things like genocide. It's quite possible they could capture, try, and execute Sinwar or someone like...

On November 19th, 2023, Argentina elected Javier Milei as President. His political party, the Libertarian Party) will hold 7 of 72 seats in the upper house of Argentina's Congress and 38 of 257 in its lower house.

Milei has promised to fully...

Will Sam Altman successfully raise one trillion dollars by EOY 2034?

The end of the Israel-Hamas war will be taken from the Wikipedia article Israel’s invasion of the Gaza Strip https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israeli_invasion_of_the_Gaza_Strip_(2023–present)

Israel will needed to have fired a rocket within a week of...

Will man still be alive? Will he have taken everything this old earth can give? Will he have put back nothin'? Now that it has been ten thousand years, will he have cried a billion tears?

Will man's reign have been through? Through the eternal...

In Venezuela's disputed presidential election on July 28, 2024, incumbent Nicolás Maduro was declared the winner with 51.2% of the vote, despite allegations of irregularities and fraud by the opposition and international observers. If the election...

ispace is a private spaceflight company. The SERIES 2 lander has been contracted by NASA under the Commercial Lunar Payload Services (CLPS) program to build and fly a lander to the surface of the moon. Their previous attempt to land on the moon,...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, definitive evidence is made public confirming that the US government orchestrated or was directly involved in the September 11, 2001 attacks. Otherwise, this market will resolve...

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2025 Internet Invitational golf tournament.

If the listed player is eliminated from contention for the Internet Invitational based on the official rules of the tournament, the...

This market is resolved when a permanent peace treaty is signed between Ukrainian and Russian governments, or the total capitulation of either side.

Sep 29, 9:44pm: added capitulation clause.

Oct 1, 12:37pm: A temporary ceasefire that lasts over a...

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between November 1, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward...

In the upcoming game, scheduled for November 6, 2025 If GNK Dinamo Zagreb wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed..

The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA). For the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 8, 2025, and the ceremony for January 11, 2026.

This market will...

This market will resolve according to the number of consecutive weeks that The Life of a Showgirl holds the #1 spot on the Billboard 200.

If the album does not debut as #1 or is otherwise not released by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market...

"A global wealth tax could arrive sooner than you think." wrote Martin Sandbu on May 19th, 2024 in the Financial Times: https://www.ft.com/content/1f1160e0-3267-4f5f-94eb-6778c65e65a4

The question resolves yes if the G20 (or any group of countries...

This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will finish in 3rd place in the 2025–26 English Premier League.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes 3rd in the final standings of the 2025–26 English Premier League....

This is a market to predict which national team will win UEFA Group G in the qualification stage for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed national team finishes first in UEFA Group G. Otherwise, it will resolve to...

Resolves YES if at any point before Jan 1, 2029 there is a video on Youtube more than 5 minutes long which I am more than 80% confident is completely generated by AI and which has over 1 billion views.

To make the judgement on whether it's made by...

Two major proposals to upgrade the Bitcoin network are currently under consideration, OP_CTV (BIP 119) and OP_CAT (BIP 347).

This market will resolve according to whichever of the following options happens by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

If one...

Kate Middleton, Princess of Wales, has announced she was diagnosed with cancer and is currently undergoing chemotherapy.

Will she die before King Charles III, who was also recently diagnosed with cancer?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes with the best regular season record in the NFL for the 2025-26 Season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If two or more teams finish with the same best record, the market will...