This market will resolve to “Yes” if Paradex (https://www.paradex.trade/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The token must be actively and publicly...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas.
If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) on the final trading day of December 2025 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of...
This is a polymarket to predict which division the team that wins the 2025-26 NFL Super Bowl will be from.
If a team from the listed division wins the Super Bowl, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If the Super...
Resolves as YES if Russia controls Kaliningrad/Königsberg on January 1st 2031.
The 32nd Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2025, will be presented on March 1, 2026, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. Nominations are...
It has been reported that the Tate brothers are en route to Florida from Romania after their travel restrictions were lifted.
About a week ago, reports said that someone within the Trump administration was pushing Romania for their release.
This...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 5 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Claude 5 must be launched...
Resolves subjectively, based on my analysis of benchmarks both official, third party, and my own.
Some examples of benchmarks I consider are MMLU, ZebraLogic, SWE-bench, simplebench, ARC, and livebench.
Some of my own evals are game-playing...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will...
[image]Resolves YES if Manifold implements some kind of program where Manifold makes recurring charitable donations which Manifold Markets users have some kind of major influence over before market close.
"Major influence" means that users' actions...
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the Senate following the 2026 U.S. Senate elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
Senate control is defined as having more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting...
The 2025 Dutch general election is scheduled to take place on October 29, 2025.
This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2025 Dutch general election.
If the next Dutch Government after the election is...
The Critics Choice Awards are presented annually by the American Critics Choice Association to honor achievements in film. For the Critics Choice Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced by December 5, 2025, followed by the ceremony...
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on January 31, 2026, 12:00...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second...
This is a market to predict which player will win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is officially named the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If the...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is the top scoring quarterback during the 2025-26 NFL regular season. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will be based on ESPN's FFL Points Per Reception (PPR) scoring, and...
50% = resolves yes
<50% resolves no
but
90% = resolves no
<10% = resolves yes
90% and <10% is at close
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