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This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Maliivka, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, (47.920810° N, 36.618600° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered...
The Esports World Cup 2026 North America Qualifier is scheduled to take place from April 14 to April 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to which teams qualify for the EWC 2026 Main Event through the North America Qualifier.
If the listed...
Will resolve to Yes if the Carolina Panthers select a quarterback with their 1st Round draft pick of the 2025 NFL Draft.
Will resolve to No if Carolina uses their first-round pick on any other position.
Will resolve to N/A if Carolina does not have...
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 18, 2026 If Middlesbrough FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If...
In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 21, 2026 If Saudi Arabia wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the...
In the upcoming J2 100 Year Vision League game, scheduled for May 2 at 1:00 AM ET:
This market will resolve to "Yokohama FC" if Yokohama FC win the game by 2 or more goals.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "SC Sagamihara".
If the game is...
In the upcoming Denmark Superliga game between Silkeborg IF and Odense BK, scheduled for April 12 at 8:00 AM ET:
This market will resolve to "Over" if Silkeborg IF and Odense BK combine to score 4 or more goals in this game.
If the combined total...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the Western Conference during the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the Western Conference (e.g., elimination from the playoffs), the...
The weapon must detonate, meaning nuclear yield exceeding chemical yield.
Offensive, peaceful, or accidental use is not included.
See also: @/EvanDaniel/will-an-aboveground-nuclear-test-ta
This prediction is specifically about law enforcement, not law as a whole. That is, LLM output is used for something like determining if someone should be investigated or arrested. Think police, not lawyers.
This prediction will be resolved as "yes"...
This market resolves based on whether Perplexity AI and TikTok U.S. officially announce a merger agreement by April 16, 2025. Resolution will be based on official announcements from Perplexity AI, TikTok, or ByteDance.
References:
https://espeaks..
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the...
After losing the 2024 US presidential election, Vice-president Kamala Harris is reportedly considering the next steps in her political career (CNN). The establishing an exploratory committee alone will not count (e.g., ABC San Diego). The question...
This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of who will be confirmed as the next Fed Chair and whether the Fed’s lower bound will reach 2.5% or lower (https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-fed-rate-hit-before-2027) at any point by...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The token must be actively, publicly...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of...
This market will resolve according to the player drafted No. 1 overall in the 2026 NHL Draft scheduled for June 26-27, 2026.
If the 2026 NHL Draft is postponed, this market will stay open until its completion.
If the 2026 NHL draft is cancelled or...
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes the 2025–26 NBA regular season with the highest assists per-game average of any qualified player.
In the event of a tie for the highest assists per-game average, this market will resolve...
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between Santos FC and CA Mineiro, scheduled for April 11 at 7:00 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Over" if Santos FC and CA Mineiro combine to score 2 or more goals in this game.
If the combined total is less...
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