In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 14 at 2:00 PM ET:

If the Navy Midshipmen win, the market will resolve to "Navy Midshipmen".

If the Colgate Raiders win, the market will resolve to "Colgate Raiders".

If the game is postponed, this...

Resolves YES if Donkey Kong Bananza doesn't come out on July 17, 2025 in either the US or Japan, or if it is announced that it will not.

Otherwise, resolves NO on release day

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Feb '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground,...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will...

This market will resolve to the winner of the 2026 Ruffles NBA All-Star Celebrity Game MVP award.

If an unlisted player wins the 2026 Ruffles NBA All-Star Celebrity Game MVP award this market will resolve to "Other".

If two or more players are...

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➡️ check my other Bitcoin market and Tomek's Specials! 😎

This market refers to the tennis match between Francisco Cerundolo and Vit Kopriva in the Argentina Open, scheduled for February 13 2026. This market will resolve to "Cerundolo" if Francisco Cerundolo wins by 2 or more sets than Vit Kopriva, based on...

Deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon has shown significant fluctuations over recent years. According to recent data, deforestation rates dropped in 2023 and 2024.

This decline has been attributed to stricter enforcement of environmental...

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[image]Will it be known at the end of 2025 that a Manhattan-like project to build AGI in the US is underway? This market will resolve to the preponderance of evidence on either side.

‘Manhattan-like’ refers to a large, not necessarily...

They must mention AI as a reason for committing suicide. Will resolve if there are credible media reports of this.

Resolution Criteria

Resolves Yes if TSLA quarterly gross profit remains below $3.6 Billion in Q2 2025.

[image]For 3 and a half years, TSLA has posted quarterly gross profits well above $3.66 Billion. In Q1 of 2025, gross profits broke below this...

In the upcoming game, scheduled for February 21, 2026 If Real Betis Balompié wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been...

The Gamestop guy bought millions of dollars worth of shares and options on $GME, and then used his reputation to trigger a huge price upswing. Will there be any legal consequences?

I may resolve early if at the end of the year there seems to be no...

This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com. They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary. I will...

In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 10 at 12:00 AM ET:

If the Virginia Tech Hokies win, the market will resolve to "Virginia Tech Hokies".

If the Clemson Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Clemson Tigers".

If the game is...

In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 12 at 8:30 PM ET:

If the California Baptist Lancers win, the market will resolve to "California Baptist Lancers".

If the Southern Utah Thunderbirds win, the market will resolve to "Southern Utah...

The 32nd Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2025, will be presented on March 1, 2026, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. Nominations are...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on February 13 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a...

*This question originally appeared in a forthcoming study by the Forecasting Research Institute titled “Conditional Trees: A Method for Generating Informative Questions about Complex Topics.” The questions appear here only slightly edited from their...