Resolves Yes if Syria holds a national election before April 2025 (EST), and No otherwise.

For the purposes of this market, an "election" is a nationwide vote (or a vote occurring on most of Syria) to elect the leaders and representatives of the...

Use mana to let the team know what you think about how they're running the website. 100% means everyone is happy with the direction Manifold is going and the team behind it, and 0% means something has probably gone tragically wrong.

Does not impact...

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the...

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup based off the...

The 2025 Dutch general election is scheduled to take place on October 29, 2025.

This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2025 Dutch general election.

If the next Dutch Government after the election is...

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of...

In the upcoming FA Cup game, scheduled for January 12 at 2:45 PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Liverpool FC" if Liverpool FC win the game by 3 or more goals.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Barnsley FC".

If the game is...

"broken" means some entity could actually decrypt it in less than 2 years with the amount of compute they have, without possessing the key, and without side-channel leaks.

(Resolution criteria adapted from a similar market:

[link preview])

I know...

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 12 at 7:00 PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Sabres" if the Sabres win the game by 2 or more goals.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Panthers".

If the game is postponed, this market will...

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before...

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in the Central African Republic on December 28, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the vote outright, a second round of elections will be scheduled.

This market will resolve to the...

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes first in the league phase of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish first in the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically...

This market will resolve according to the next listed individual that it is announced will leave the Trump Cabinet, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration.

If none of the listed individuals leave between December 5, 2025 and December...

Major federal spending cuts were promised by the Trump campaign in 2024, but obstacles remain despite Republican control of Congress (The Hill, CNBC). The question will be suspended on 30 September 2027 if still open and the outcome determined using...

Resolves to YES if we have public knowledge by 12/24/27 of a company or other entity having created something that roughly equates to the 'drop-in remote worker' described in the paper Situational Awareness, or is otherwise similarly or more capable....

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the...

1 Vegapunk (the genius) who predicted Seraphim to to be the most powerful beings in the history of the sea.

2 Hyped since the Dresrosa arc when Fujitora mentioned abolishment of walords.

3 Final arc villains along with Imu as they are his...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by a Chinese company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If a...

This market will resolve according to the listed team/country that wins the gold medal for Men’s Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics.

If it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 Men’s Ice Hockey Olympic gold medal...

In the upcoming game, scheduled for January 18, 2026 If Fenerbahçe SK wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If...