In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 15 at 8:00PM ET: If the Jets win, the market will resolve to "Jets". If the Wild win, the market will resolve to "Wild". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been...
Artificial Superintelligence (ASI) refers to a level of artificial intelligence that surpasses the cognitive performance of humans in virtually all domains of interest, including scientific creativity, general wisdom, and social skills. Unlike...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will...
US equity markets performed well through the first three quarters of 2024, though various geopolitical and financial risks are concerns (MSN [Forbes], Yahoo [Bloomberg]). The S&P 500 Index is one of the most followed indices for equity markets in...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on February 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket..
A "life-altering medical episode" must be a clear,
Update 2025-02-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on Early Resolution:
The market will now resolve earlier if Trump is determined to be incapacitated as a result of any...
Actual estimate: 33-50%
This comes from a verbal interview (from the 14:14 mark). The interview was focused on AI, and this estimate may have been as well. Tallinn said he's not very confident, but is fairly confident his estimate would be in...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Ethereum in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that the US government confiscating Ethereum does...
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. unemployment rate reaches or exceeds 5.0% at any point during the calendar year 2025. The official unemployment rate is published monthly by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)...
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take...
Self-replicating space probes, also known as von Neumann probes, are hypothetical spacecraft designed to autonomously explore and utilize resources from celestial bodies to replicate themselves. The creation of a self-replicating probe could...
This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will finish in last place in the 2025–26 English Premier League.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in last place in the final standings of the 2025–26 English Premier League..
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock...
In the upcoming Premier League game between Sunderland AFC and Crystal Palace FC, scheduled for January 17 at 10:00 AM ET:
This market will resolve to "Over" if Sunderland AFC and Crystal Palace FC combine to score 3 or more goals in this game.
If...
At any time, any valuation
Berkshire Hathaway, led by Warren Buffett since the 1960s, has grown into a $750 billion enterprise, largely due to its strategy of reinvesting profits or buying back shares instead of paying dividends. The company paid its only dividend under...
Men’s tournament. Either Round 1 of 64 or round 2 of 32.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for January 19, 2026 If Konyaspor wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the...
According to Trump Microsoft is in talks to acquire TikTok
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2025/01/27/tiktok-microsoft-trump-ban-china/2b647124-dd2a-11ef-8889-d5c3924edafd_story.html?isMobile=1
Microsoft is currently in talks to acquire...
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to...
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