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Will Zach Wahls be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?
33%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2026-03-03

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Iowa.

If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will...

Last updated: 2026-03-03
★★★☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $5.1k
Will the president elected in 2024 complete his or her term?
80%
Likely
Last updated: 2025-06-17

This market resolves yes if the winner of the 2024 United States presidential election remains alive and in office until Inauguration Day in 2028.

Last updated: 2025-06-17
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 38
Volume: M3.5k
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on March 4?
3%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2026-03-03

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground,...

Last updated: 2026-03-03
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $1.7k
Will global peak oil production occur before 2026?
12%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-06-17

Resolves YES if total world oil production declines in 2026 and 2027 from a peak in or before the year 2025, AND there is a majority consensus among world energy economics experts that peak oil was likely reached in or before 2025.

Resolves NO if...

Last updated: 2025-06-17
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 26
Volume: M1.8k
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?
12%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2026-03-03

This market will resolve according to the public ticker symbol used by SpaceX in an IPO (Initial Public Offering) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be...

Last updated: 2026-03-03
★★★★☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $5.6k
Will there be between 110m and 115m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?
26%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2026-03-03

The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm...

Last updated: 2026-03-03
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $4.0k
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
2%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2026-03-03

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If...

Last updated: 2026-03-03
★★★☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $75k
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of March?
56%
About Even
Last updated: 2026-03-03

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the final trading day of the month is shortened...

Last updated: 2026-03-03
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $2.6k
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
51%
Up
50%
Down
Last updated: 2026-03-03

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this...

Last updated: 2026-03-03
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $16k
Maximus Jones vs. Tom Gentzsch: Total Sets O/U 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
Last updated: 2026-03-03

This market refers to the tennis match between Maximus Jones and Tom Gentzsch in the Hersonissos, scheduled for March 2 2026. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to...

Last updated: 2026-03-03
★★★☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $24k
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
< 1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2026-03-03

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held...

Last updated: 2026-03-03
★★★☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $58k
Exact Score: FC Nantes 3 - 2 Angers SCO?
27%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2026-03-03

In the upcoming Ligue 1 game between FC Nantes and Angers SCO, scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Nantes vs. Angers SCO match originally scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET,...

Last updated: 2026-03-03
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $88
Will Neuralink successfully enable telepathy using its technology by 2030?
69%
Likely
Last updated: 2025-04-27

Resolves Yes if there's credible news coverage of two Neuralink patients sending any kind of signal/information to each other by 2030.

Last updated: 2025-04-27
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 63
Volume: M3.8k
Will Duke win the 2025-2026 ACC Men’s Basketball regular season championship?
> 99%
Virtually certain
Last updated: 2026-03-03

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 ACC Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship.

If two or more teams tie for the regular season championship, this market will resolve according to the team which receives a...

Last updated: 2026-03-03
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $704
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 46°F or higher on March 3?
2%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2026-03-03

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground,...

Last updated: 2026-03-03
★★★☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $2.0k
Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 30% before 2030?
1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2024-10-07

The two noteworthy dips in U.S. employment over the past twenty years came with the 2008 recession and the 2020 Covid pandemic. There is now growing anxiety that the upcoming AI revolution might displace jobs on a far greater scale, in everything...

Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 26
AHL: Lehigh Valley Phantoms vs. Utica Comets
53%
Lehigh Valley Phantoms
47%
Utica Comets
Last updated: 2026-03-03

In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for 2026-03-03: If Lehigh Valley Phantoms win, the market will resolve to "Lehigh Valley Phantoms". If Utica Comets win, the market will resolve to "Utica Comets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain...

Last updated: 2026-03-03
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $1.1k
XRP Up or Down - March 2, 11PM ET
51%
Up
50%
Down
Last updated: 2026-03-03

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the XRP/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down".

The resolution...

Last updated: 2026-03-03
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $12k
Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025?
14%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-05-22

From the ACX 2025 Prediction Contest:

(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/31620)I will resolve this according to the Metaculus resolution: This question will resolve as Yes if, during calendar year 2025, Israel establishes a formal...

Last updated: 2025-05-22
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 14
Volume: M955
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 1 - 1 Sunderland AFC?
12%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2026-03-03

In the upcoming Premier League game between Leeds United FC and Sunderland AFC, scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC match originally scheduled for...

Last updated: 2026-03-03
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $293
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?
52%
About Even
Last updated: 2026-03-03

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Cambria's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly...

Last updated: 2026-03-03
★★★☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $7.7k

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