This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this...

Resolution Criteria:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2025, the United States Senate confirms a nominee to the Supreme Court of the United States. The confirmation must be officially recorded in the Congressional Record or an...

After April 4, 2025, this will happen again.

Resolution Criteria: The market will be based on closing prices only, comparing the close to close price movement from one day to the next.

Intraday Prices: Any price movements within the trading day...

If a Macron-backed candidate (or one that runs for his coalition or his Renaissance party) fails to be elected president, will be a candidate of the far-right? (like Le Pen or a Le Pen-backed candidate)?

I'll rely on the press to determine the...

If on any month by the end of 2025, on the top of FIDE chess ratings (classical chess) https://ratings.fide.com/ there is player other than than Magnus Carlsen, this market will resolve to NO.

If Magnus continuously stays FIDE TOP #1, this market...

If Donald Trump is elected president in 2024 and the Constitution is amended under his presidency by January 20th 2029 at 12 PM Eastern Time, this market will resolve to YES.

If Donald Trump is elected president in 2024 but this does not occur by...

@Austin is a believing Catholic. Will this remain the case? I'll ask him at market close.

Resolves NO if he reports keeping to Catholic rituals / behavior standards but no longer believing in literal God.

(I asked for and received Austin's...

Betelgeuse is a red supergiant star approximately 600 light years away from Earth.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on January 31, 2026,...

Representative Riley Moore (R-West Virginia) introduced the "Stop CCP VISAs Act," which proposes banning Chinese nationals from obtaining student visas to study in the United States.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to YES if before...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the final trading day of January 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the final trading day of the month...

The 2026 Gyeonggi Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next Governor of Gyeonggi Province.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this...

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 21 at 8:00 PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dyson Daniels records more than 6.5 total rebounds during the game.

This market will resolve to "No" if Dyson Daniels records 6.5 rebounds or...

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup based on the rules of the tournament (e.g., they...

Resolves to NO if I'm spending less than half of my working time doing alignment research at Redwood Research.

Currently, influenza vaccination necessitates making and administering new and updated flu vaccines each year. This process involves having to predict which influenza strains will be predominant in the next flu season and including these strains in...

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results...

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina.

If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source...

Nigel Paul Farage, born 3 April 1964, is a British politician who has served as the leader of Reform UK since June 2024, having previously been the leader of the UK Independence Party and the Brexit Party. Farage was a leading figure in the Brexit...

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Calder Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary...

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual in connection with any alleged fake daycare facility in Minnesota, and the...