The Bangladeshi interim government reportedly seeks fundamental changes to the country's political system in the wake of former Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina's ouster in August 2025, though the path to be taken is yet to be determined (PBS,...

Background Fartcoin is a meme cryptocurrency that has gained attention in the crypto community. Elon Musk has historically influenced cryptocurrency markets through his social media activity, particularly with Dogecoin and Bitcoin. However, he has...

This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2025 WNBA Rookie of the Year award.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from WNBA (https://www.wnba.com).

Across the full year from 01 Jan 2025 through 31 Dec 2025, will Tesla outperform the S&P 500 index (specifically the index, not any ETF tracking it)?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs a reconciliation bill that explicitly eliminates federal income taxes on tips earned by workers in the United States by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to...

If somebody reaches out to me and describes what their B2B startup is going to do, this question will resolve to Yes if I will recommend using AWS Lambda for at least some piece of it. If nobody reaches out to me then it will resolve to whatever I...

Crunchyroll is scheduled to host the Anime Awards on May 25, 2025 in Tokyo, Japan (see https://www.crunchyroll.com/animeawards/).

This market will resolve according to the anime which wins the Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Anime Song.

If for any...

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025 MLB World Series.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the World Series based on the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this...

https://arcprize.org/competition

=85% performance on Chollet's abstraction and reasoning corpus, private set. (If Chollet et al. change the requirements for the grand prize in 2025, this question will not change. The bar will remain >=85%...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Iranian embassies or consulates between March 31, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will...

This market will resolve according to the coach who wins the 2025-2026 NFL Coach of the Year award.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the NFL.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Proton_decay

Resolves by April 20, 2025 on news reports from at least one of:

• ABC

• CBS

• NBC

• PBS

• NPR

• CNN

• Fox

• MSNBC

• Associated Press

• New York Times

• Washington Examiner

• Wall Street Journal

• New York Post

• USA Today

Sam Altman is the CEO of OpenAI and a former YCombinator president.

Right now, I admire him a lot for succeeding with OpenAI, particularly after the work he has done at YCombinator. It seems he has skill, given he coached many startups, and when he...

If Donald Trump ever serves as a figure that I personally consider to be a Pope, Antipope, Pseudopope, or Funko Pope, then this market resolves Yes.

For ambiguous cases, this must be a new role invented explicitly or obviously for Trump; it's not...

This market will resolve to the first sovereign country that Pope Leo XIV visits after becoming pope.

Italy will not be considered for this market.

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Pope Leo XIV physically entering the...

Iran and Saudi Arabia have been fighting a proxy war since the Iranian Revolution. They have not yet come to direct blows, and third party countries are attempting to mediate the dispute. Speculation abounds about the effect of the Israel-Hamas War...

Resolves YES if Elon Musk & OpenAI formally begin the process for Elon Musk or his associated companies to be—whether alone or as part of a consortium of other investors—the majority/controlling owner of OpenAI before market close (August 31st, 2025)..

Resolves YES if a country is disqualified from Eurovision Song Contest 2025, similar to what happened to The Netherlands and Joost Klein in 2024.

Resolves NO if all countries are allowed to perform in all televised contests including semi-finals and...