See: @/strutheo/will-elon-musk-be-the-first-person

See: @/strutheo/will-elon-musk-ever-walk-on-the-moo

See: @/strutheo/will-elon-musk-be-alive-on-the-day

Circular economy reshapes "ownership" of everything in the economy, while also redraws a trackable flow of everything in the economy. It is one of the solutions to a sustainable world. It is also a way for human being to mimic how nature works.

The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate wins the 2026 election to the U.S. House of Representatives from Washington's Third Congressional District. A candidate shall be considered to represent a...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between January 1 and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald...

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this...

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round..

The market will resolve based on the Minneapolis Federal Reserve's report of the Consumer Price Index's annual percent change on January 1st, 2026 (https://www.minneapolisfed..

The market resolves YES if the journal Science retracts “The Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market in Wuhan was the early epicenter of the COVID-19 pandemic” by December 31, 2025 at 11:59 p.m. EST. Otherwise the market resolves NO.

Here is the specific...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).

For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or...

Resolves yes if Lex Fridman hosts another debate between Destiny and Ben Shapiro before 2026.

Do you think we get a human on Mars by 2030?

resolved by poll if unclear

open until the investigation is sufficiently far along to make a judgement call

Straightforward question.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from January 2 12:00 PM ET to January 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count..

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to...

The 2025 Dutch general election is scheduled to take place on October 29, 2025.

This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2025 Dutch general election.

If the next Dutch Government after the election is...

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending December 2025 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.

This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party is a part of the first Dutch government formed after the 2025 general election scheduled to take place October 29. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A party will only be considered...

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves to YES if the English Wikipedia article currently titled "Gulf of Mexico" is officially renamed to any other title before January 1, 2026. The market resolves to NO if the article title remains "Gulf of...

This is a polymarket on whether the listed team will win the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to...