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Will the Democratic Party win the AL-01 House seat?
8%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2026-02-07

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

​A...

Last updated: 2026-02-07
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $6.4k
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play in any future World Cup match before announcing his retirement?
45%
About Even
Last updated: 2025-06-04

Resolves YES immediately if Cristiano Ronaldo plays for any length of time in any match of a future FIFA World Cup (presumably, for Portugal) without having made an announcement confirming his retirement (at any point).

Resolves NO immediately if he...

Last updated: 2025-06-04
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 15
Volume: M295
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?
13%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2026-02-07

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for XRP (XRP/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in...

Last updated: 2026-02-07
★★★★☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $20k
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?
< 1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2026-02-07

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027"..

Last updated: 2026-02-07
★★★☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $6.6k
Will John E. Sununu be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?
88%
Likely
Last updated: 2026-02-07

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for...

Last updated: 2026-02-07
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $2.3k
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5
53%
Over
47%
Under
Last updated: 2026-02-07

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for February 7 at 10:00 PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Over" if the Grizzlies and Trail Blazers combine to score 234 or more points in this game.

If the combined total is less than 234, this market will...

Last updated: 2026-02-07
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $1.0k
Will Dialogue for Hungary (Párbeszéd) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
< 1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2026-02-07

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary in early April 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election....

Last updated: 2026-02-07
★★★☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $12k
Will Sirāt win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
< 1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2026-02-07

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on...

Last updated: 2026-02-07
★★★☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $6.7k
Will the Republican Party win the MD-02 House seat?
11%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2026-02-07

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

​A...

Last updated: 2026-02-07
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $1.9k
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?
38%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2026-02-07

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify as a repeal, the cap...

Last updated: 2026-02-07
★★★★☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $2.0k
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?
< 1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2026-02-07

This is a polymarket on whether the listed team will win the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to...

Last updated: 2026-02-07
★★★☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $230k
Will Scotland win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?
< 1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2026-02-07

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup based on the rules of the tournament (e.g., they...

Last updated: 2026-02-07
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $5.5k
Will an AI-created movie have a rating >=7.0 on IMDB by 2028?
45%
About Even
Last updated: 2025-05-30

Written, animated, and directed by AI

Human prompt and final cut selection allowed

Last updated: 2025-05-30
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 59
Volume: M3.9k
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
16%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2026-02-07

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the...

Last updated: 2026-02-07
★★★☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $3.5k
Will a Metaculus user report from space before 2050?
49%
About Even
Last updated: 2024-10-07

Similar questions:

  • When will the total number of people who have gone to space reach 1000?
  • When will the 10,000th human reach space?
Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 329
Will Donald Trump say "Taiwan Number One" before 2028?
30%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-06-08

Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Donald Trump has said the phrase "Taiwan Number One" before January 1st 2028.

This must have occurred after November 26th 2024

Last updated: 2025-06-08
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 14
Volume: M1.1k
US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Mantova 1911: Both Teams to Score
50%
About Even
Last updated: 2026-02-07

In the upcoming Serie B game between US Catanzaro 1929 and Mantova 1911, scheduled for February 14 at 11:15 AM ET:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both US Catanzaro 1929 and Mantova 1911 each score at least one goal during the game.

This...

Last updated: 2026-02-07
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $116
Will Canada win the third most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
13%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2026-02-07

This market will resolve according to the country that wins the third most medals (including gold, silver, and bronze) at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics, scheduled for February 6-22, 2026.

In the case of ties, the ordered list for most...

Last updated: 2026-02-07
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $283
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne City FC: Both Teams to Score
55%
About Even
Last updated: 2026-02-07

In the upcoming A-League game between Western Sydney Wanderers FC and Melbourne City FC, scheduled for February 7 at 3:35 AM ET:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Western Sydney Wanderers FC and Melbourne City FC each score at least one goal...

Last updated: 2026-02-07
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $3.1k
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
64%
Likely
Last updated: 2026-02-07

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Alabama.

If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market...

Last updated: 2026-02-07
★★★☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $2.1k
Will Rich Russo - Super Bowl LIX - Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs win Best Director for Sports at the 78th DGA Awards?
87%
Likely
Last updated: 2026-02-07

The DGA Awards are presented annually by the Directors Guild of America. The ceremony for the 78th Annual DGA Awards is scheduled for February 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed person that wins the Sports category at the 78th...

Last updated: 2026-02-07
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $155

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