Resolves as YES if a human ventures onto the surface of Mercury before January 1st 2040.
Questions with the same criteria:
@/RemNi/will-a-human-venture-onto-the-surfa-c07a9e6b1dc2 (this...
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally initiates a withdrawal from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A notice of...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take...
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the...
Resolves YES if we have a superconductor before curing cancer. No if we cure cancer before having a superconductor.
What counts as curing cancer: If cancer deaths in germany fall by 95% from 2023 levels. This year there are expected to be 240000...
This market will resolve according to the team that finishes the 2025-2026 NBA Regular Season with the best record in the league.
This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to finish the regular Season with the best...
This is a polymarket to predict which clubs are relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season.
If the listed club is officially relegated by the Bundesliga following the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and March 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is...
This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on February 28, 2026, 12PM ET.
The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary...
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) March 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a...
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers..
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the AI industry experiences an industry downturn by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the AI industry will be considered to have...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if $PUP (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/pup-token) receives a perp listing on any centralized or decentralized exchange by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
A listing will count if...
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Hamburger SV, scheduled for February 20 at 2:30 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Over" if 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Hamburger SV combine to score 3 or more goals in this game.
If the combined...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the...
The National Survey on Drug Use and Health (NSDUH) surveys the proportion of people who have ever used psilocybin/magic mushrooms.
Will the NSDUH figure for 2030, when released, be at least 15.0%?
The market resolves YES if the NSDUH percentage of...
based on this list https://ratings.fide.com/
The market will resolve based on the July 1st 2026 FIDE rating list (published June 30th 2026) as this list reflects Magnus's rating through the end of June 2026.
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