The city of Sevastopol in Crimea currently holds the Russian Black Sea Fleet in its naval base, which has been crucial to Russia's operations in Syria since 2014.
As the Russo-Ukrainian conflict continues and peace negotiations begin in earnest, it...
Ukraine and Russia entered peace negotiations in March 2022, with the most recent round of negotiations in Istanbul on March 29.
According to Newsweek, in April 2022 Ukrainian official Igor Zhovkva said "Ukraine's long-running conflict with Russia...
In 2019, in a 334-51 vote, Ukraine amended their constitution to include their intentions of joining the EU and NATO (Ukraine Constitution, Стаття 116, 1-1. On February 28, 2022, during the Russian Invasion of Ukraine, Ukraine submitted an...
Turkey, a NATO member, has been involved in efforts to mediate the war between Ukraine and Russia and has recently had a rapprochement with Israel, who is also involved in the mediation efforts. Turkey has been selling drones to Ukraine since 2019...
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Will Russia invade Ukrainian territory in 2022?
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Will Russian troops enter Kyiv, Ukraine before December 31, 2022?
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Will Russian troops enter Mariupol, Ukraine by 31 December 2022?
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Will Russian troops enter...
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If Putin and Zelenskyy meet to discuss the peaceful resolution of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict in 2022, when will they first meet?
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Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine...
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Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24, 2022, and attacked Kyiv; its forces moved toward Kyiv from Belarus. In early March, heavy fighting in the northwestern...
Israel, a close US ally, has given humanitarian aid to and has established a field hospital in Ukraine. It has accepted some Ukrainian refugees and voted to condemn the Russian invasion at the UN and helped convince the UAE to do the same. Israel...
Israel, a close US ally, has given humanitarian aid to and has established a field hospital in Ukraine. It has accepted some Ukrainian refugees and voted to condemn the Russian invasion at the UN and helped convince the UAE to do the same. Israel...
Related Questions on Metaculus:
- Will a Russian nuclear weapon be detonated in the US before 2023?
- [ Will a US nuclear weapon be detonated in Russia before 2023?](https://www.metaculus..
Related Questions on Metaculus:
- Will a Russian nuclear weapon be detonated in the US before 2023?
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On February 27, 2022, Russian President Vladmir Putin ordered his...
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The North Atlantic Treaty was signed in 1949 with 12 founding members, consisting of a series of Articles that set forth obligations of member states to one another and to their collective defense. Since its inception the number of member states to...
The North Atlantic Treaty was signed in 1949 with 12 founding members, consisting of a series of Articles that set forth obligations of member states to one another and to their collective defense. Since its inception the number of member states to...
The North Atlantic Treaty was signed in 1949 with 12 founding members, consisting of a series of Articles that set forth obligations of member states to one another and to their collective defense. Since its inception the number of member states to...
The North Atlantic Treaty was signed in 1949 with 12 founding members, consisting of a series of Articles that set forth obligations of member states to one another and to their collective defense. Since its inception the number of member states to...
The North Atlantic Treaty was signed in 1949 with 12 founding members, consisting of a series of Articles that set forth obligations of member states to one another and to their collective defense. Since its inception the number of member states to...
The North Atlantic Treaty was signed in 1949 with 12 founding members, consisting of a series of Articles that set forth obligations of member states to one another and to their collective defense. Since its inception the number of member states to...
The North Atlantic Treaty was signed in 1949 with 12 founding members, consisting of a series of Articles that set forth obligations of member states to one another and to their collective defense. Since its inception the number of member states to...
The North Atlantic Treaty was signed in 1949 with 12 founding members, consisting of a series of Articles that set forth obligations of member states to one another and to their collective defense. Since its inception the number of member states to...
The North Atlantic Treaty was signed in 1949 with 12 founding members, consisting of a series of Articles that set forth obligations of member states to one another and to their collective defense. Since its inception the number of member states to...
The North Atlantic Treaty was signed in 1949 with 12 founding members, consisting of a series of Articles that set forth obligations of member states to one another and to their collective defense. Since its inception the number of member states to...
The North Atlantic Treaty was signed in 1949 with 12 founding members, consisting of a series of Articles that set forth obligations of member states to one another and to their collective defense. Since its inception the number of member states to...
The North Atlantic Treaty was signed in 1949 with 12 founding members, consisting of a series of Articles that set forth obligations of member states to one another and to their collective defense. Since its inception the number of member states to...
Kherson (Херсо́н) is a city of 280,000 people in the south of Ukraine, and the administrative center of Kherson Oblast. It's a port with access to both the Black Sea and the Dnipro River (including a bridge crossing).
On March 2, 2022, the city fell...
MOEX (Moscow Exchange) is one of the two large Russian stock exchanges. Typically, MOEX used to be open Monday through Friday. On February 24 2022, Russia invaded Ukraine, and soon the price of RUR (the Russian currency) plummeted. On February 28,...
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- What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2022, in trillions of USD?
Russia's economy has been devastated by Western sanctions since 2014. The new sanctions imposed on it internationally because of the...
Related Question on Metaculus:
- What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2023, in trillions of USD?
Russia's economy has been devastated by Western sanctions since 2014. In response to Russia's Invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, the US and...
Ukraine and Russia entered peace negotiations in March 2022, with the most recent round of negotiations in Istanbul on March 29.
The number of active-duty troops in Ukraine's standing army before the Russian invasion of 2022 will serve as the base...
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Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet to discuss the peaceful resolution of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict before 2023?
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Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2023...
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Will Kyiv fall to Russian forces by April 2022?
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Will Kyiv fall by 2023?
Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24, 2022, and attacked Kyiv ; its forces moved toward Kyiv from Belarus. In early March, heavy...
As of April 13, 2022, NATO had 30 member states. Prior to the Russia-Ukraine War, NATO recognized Bosnia & Herzegovina, Georgia, and Ukraine as potential new members. The war has inspired speculation on further NATO enlargement, such as by the...
About the Potential Recipient: Volodymr Zelenskyy became president of Ukraine in 2019. In February 2022, Russia invaded Ukraine, and global attention to Zelenskyy increased dramatically (English Wikipedia pageviews, Google Trends). Sentiment in...
The Union State is a supranational organization, composed of Russia and Belarus since its creation in 1999. It is formally open to membership applications from other countries. Union State members share freedom of migration to work or live in...
When Ukraine applied for NATO membership in 2008 their application was denied, though many NATO members (including the USA) were in favor of Ukraine's joining the alliance. In 2019, in a 334-51 vote, Ukraine amended their constitution to include...
Russia invaded Ukraine, a non-NATO member. Ukraine borders Poland, Hungary, Slovakia and Romania, all NATO members.
It is possible that on the border between these countries, or elsewhere, Russian forces fight with NATO forces.
***Will there be...
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Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet to discuss the peaceful resolution of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict before 2023?
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If Putin and Zelenskyy meet to discuss the peaceful resolution of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict...
On April 7, 2022, Juraj Mesík of the Slovak Foreign Policy Association predicted that Russia will collapse in the next 3 to 5 years (machine translation below):
Only three forces hold the Russian Empire together: the ideology of the superpower, the...
On February 23, 2022, Russia invaded Ukraine. In January 2021, the German Council on Foreign Relations released a report on Russia's strategic interests in the Baltic region:
Recently, Russia has added another element to its hybrid instruments and...
On February 23, 2022, Russia invaded Ukraine.
Will Russia invade any country other than Ukraine in 2022?
This question will resolve positively if, between February 24, 2022 and January 1, 2023, either the Russian Federation or any two...
Moldova and Romania speak the same language and reunification has been a possibility since independence. This Jan 2022 article quotes a poll finding 44% support in Moldova for union with Romania.
That was before Russia invaded Ukraine. Romania is in...
Russia invaded Georgia in 2008. Since the 2012 elections, pro-Russian candidates have been elected, and there's a growing perception that Georgia has slowly begun to move away from the West. One account of recent political events in Georgia can be...
Dnipro experienced its first missile attack in early March 2022 since the beginning of the Russo-Ukrainian war in February, resulting in at least one death. Former NATO commander in Europe, Wesley Clark said on CNN on April 3, 2022, "[...] the...
As the consequence of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, The Guardian reports:
“Thousands of Ukrainians have left the country and as many as 100,000 are internally displaced after fleeing their homes following the attack ordered by Vladimir Putin.”...
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