The market resolves to YES if a formal peace agreement or armistice between the two is signed before the end of 2025. The war will not be considered to have ended in the case of a temporary ceasefire (inspired by Nicola Wilson's market).

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If a peace treaty is signed and guerrilla fighting continues question will still resolve yes.

Will resolve to Yes if Volodymyr Zelenskyy is photographed between today (Mar 3rd) and May 1st (inclusive) wearing what one could reasonably agree to be a “suit”, similar to his outfits worn before the 2022 invasion: https://en.wikipedia..