Electricity, internal combustion engines, and semiconductors facilitated automation in the last century, but AI now seems poised to automate many tasks once thought to be out of reach, from driving cars to making medical recommendations and beyond....
Related Queston on Metaculus:
- Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world at any point during the 2020s?
Sam Bankman-Fried is currently the richest person in crypto as well as the richest person under 30. He plans on donating the...
Elon Musk, the world’s richest person known for leading companies like SpaceX and Tesla, expanded his portfolio by acquiring Twitter for $44 billion in October 2022. Under his leadership, the company underwent significant changes, including a...
Related Questions on Metaculus:
-
Will there be a deadly clash involving gunfire or explosives between India and China before 2024?
-
Will there be a US-China war by 2035?
Founded in 2015 by notable figures like Elon Musk and Sam Altman, OpenAI began as a non-profit organization with a vision to advance AI technology for the benefit of humanity. However, in 2019, OpenAI transitioned to a "capped" for-profit model,...
The federal criminal case United States v. Donald J. Trump and Waltine Nauta will be heard in the United States district Court for the Southern District of Florida.
The case brings 37 charges against Donald Trump, including 31 counts related...
India has shifted from its heavy dependence on Russia for arms and weapons over the past several years, all while trying to balance the strength of its relationship with Moscow as Chinese military spending climbs (US News & World Report, BBC)....
In 2023, researchers at the Alignment Research Center, ARC, evaluated GPT-4. ARC researchers summarized their methodology and finding as follows, "We prompted the model with instructions that explained that it was running on a cloud server and had...
As the 2024 Summer Olympics approach in France, security concerns are running high (NBC News, El País, ASIS International, Olympics - Paris 2024 Schedule). The surfing competition will take place in Tahiti, which is in French Polynesia (Olympics -...
Scope
This is the question of whether Trump will hold supreme executive power in the United States rather than a specific political office. At the moment, the President is granted that power by the constitution. However, Caesar and Napoleon both...
Oumuamua is a first ever confirmed "interstellar object" to enter Solar system. It was detected by Hawaiian telescope PAN_STARRS2 on October 18, 2017 and was named "Oumuamua" which stands for "advance scout" in Hawaiian.
However, the brightness of...
This is a market on whether Ukraine will sever Russia's land bridge to Crimea at any point before September 31, 2023. The primary resolution source will be the Institute for the Study of War (ISW): https://storymaps.arcgis..
The 2024 United States presidential election is scheduled for November 5th when voters will vote for the President of the United States.
The election is an indirect election where voters cast votes for members of the electoral college.
In...
After the Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022, almost $300bn of Russian sovereign assets were frozen in Western countries. There is a heated debate about whether to seize those assets, and transfer funds to help Ukraine in the war, with arguments...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for 2023 shows an increase of 1.18°C or greater when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An anomaly of 1.18°C or greater for 2023 will...
Can't find what you were looking for? Show more, or suggest a question on Metaculus