Although the United States has announced intentions to withdraw from the Paris Climate Agreement, 194 countries are still part of the agreement, including China, the world's #1 carbon dioxide emitter.
Under the agreement, each country sets its own...
China appears to be at the forefront of some aspects of biotechnology, being the first in the world both to successfully clone primates and to successfully gene edit humans.
The UK's Conservative Party won control of Parliament in 2010 under David Cameron. Since then, the Conservatives have maintained control of Parliament. One of the key issues over the last decade was Britain's relationship with the European Union...
Related Question on Metaculus:
- Will it be legal to pay taxes in the US using bitcoin before 2030?
In the wake of the Taliban takeover of Afghanistan, the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan has remained an unrecognized state. The United States has said it is premature to recognize the Taliban. The US has also said that recognition of the Taliban...
On 5 December 2023, Moody's Investor Service (Moody's) changed its ratings outlook for China to negative, citing surging local government debt and a deepening property crisis (Voice of America, Moody's, Investopedia - Credit Ratings...
Elon Musk and his various businesses have been the subject of numerous criminal and civil proceedings initiated by the United States (US) federal government.
Among other ongoing investigations and legal proceedings, multiple news outlets have...
Hillary Diane Rodham Clinton, born October 26, 1947, is an American politician, diplomat, lawyer, writer, and public speaker who served as the 67th United States secretary of state from 2009 to 2013, as a United States senator from New York from 2001...
On June 17, 2024, tensions between China and the Philippines escalated when a Chinese vessel and a Philippine supply ship collided near the Spratly Islands. See timeline of South China Sea confrontations here.
With respect to Taiwan, China has...
After a far-right victory in the European elections, French President Emmanuel Macron dissolved the National Assembly, calling snap elections for June 30th and July 7th.
The majority of the 577 districts will see a runoff on Sunday, July 7, with the...
The PRC has continued military activities around Taiwan throughout 2023 (Al Jazeera, Council on Foreign Relations, BBC). A lethal confrontation is one that results in one fatality for the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement of...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official...
On March 25, 2024, the USDA reported an outbreak of H5N1 avian influenza in dairy cows in Kansas, Texas, and New Mexico. The outbreak has since spread, with CDC and USDA reporting infected cattle in nine states and affecting 46 herds as of May 15,...
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate wins the popular vote in the 2024 general election for U.S. President in Georgia. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party if such individual is...
After the OpenAI board temporarily removed Sam Altman as CEO in November 2023, rumors abounded regarding the reasons behind the decision. One such rumor was that the move was sparked by progress in a new AI system with potentially dangerous...
In October 2022, the US instituted new, wide-ranging export controls aimed at controlling a set of “chokepoint” technologies in the global semiconductor supply chain. China is one of the leading countries in AI, but AI advancements have historically...
On February 13, 2023, Dubai's ruler Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum announced plans for electric flying taxis in Dubai in 2026, which will include a network of vertiports connecting key areas of the city. See also Arab News - Dubai says flying...
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