You can now see an excellent visualization of global catastrophic risks estimates produced in the Ragnarök series here.
The invention of nuclear weapons gave humanity the technical capacity to cause devastation on a hitherto unseen scale....
Obergefell v. Hodges, 576 U.S. 644 (2015), is a landmark civil rights case in which the Supreme Court of the United States (SCOTUS) ruled that the fundamental right to marry is guaranteed to same-sex couples by both the Due Process Clause and the...
Since the early 1980s, most central banks have communicated their operation of monetary policy by setting a policy nominal interest rate. For example, the Fed in the US communicates the stance of monetary policy through its target for the federal...
Lethal Autonomous Weapons Systems, as defined by the U.S. Department of Defense, are “weapon system[s] that, once activated, can select and engage targets without further intervention by a human operator.”
Such systems, colloquially known...
In October 2022, the US instituted new, wide-ranging export controls aimed at controlling a set of “chokepoint” technologies in the global semiconductor supply chain. China is one of the leading countries in AI, but AI advancements have historically...
Although the United States has announced intentions to withdraw from the Paris Climate Agreement, 194 countries are still part of the agreement, including the European Union, the world's #3 carbon dioxide emitter.
Under the agreement, each country...
In February 2023, China’s Ministry of Commerce used its Unreliable Entities List (UEL) for the first time, placing Lockheed Martin and Raytheon, two aerospace R&D companies with heavy contracting ties to the U.S. military, onto this list as part of...
The People's Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF) has been consistently sending military aircraft into Taiwan's Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) with growing numbers of aircraft, though not its national airspace (CNN, Naval News, Foreign...
In June the Russian Federal Security Service (FSB) issued a public statement claiming that Apple collaborates heavily with American Intelligence Agencies, particularly the US National Security Agency (NSA), and sends them Russian data. That did not...
*This question originally appeared in a forthcoming study by the Forecasting Research Institute titled “Conditional Trees: A Method for Generating Informative Questions about Complex Topics.” The questions appear here only slightly edited from their...
Weapons sales from one country to another are often a useful indicator of positive geopolitical ties between those two nations. The logic behind this is that nations won't export weapons to other countries which visibly seek to compete with them...
Próspera is a private charter city and ZEDE) (Zone for Employment and Economic Development) on the island of Roatán in Honduras.
The project aims to attract both Hondurans and internationals by (among other things) being business-friendly, having...
Residents of Washington DC have long been frustrated by a lack of (voting) representation in the US Congress, as well as local governance problems arising from the city's status as a federal district.
Members of Congress have in the past introduced...
In August 2022, Sens. Debbie Stabenow (D-MI) and John Boozman (R-AR) officially introduced the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act (DCCPA), a bill aimed at providing a regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies within the context of the...
A tribunal in Bangladesh has issued an arrest warrant for former Bangladeshi Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina, who resigned and fled to India amid widespread protests in July and August 2024 (BBC, AP). Whether India will extradite Hasina to its neighbor...
On 24 September 2024, the Chinese Ministry of Commerce announced that it was investigating PVH Group, which owns brands including Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger, for its alleged boycott of cotton from Xinjiang (BBC, Fashion Dive, China Ministry of...
Though it does not contain an explicit procedure for expulsion, according to an analysis by Just Security NATO member states can by unanimous agreement, effectively expel a member state for material breach of the treaty:
Should the conditions for...
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